TOTAL VOLUME:

$143b

24H VOL:

$111,424,783

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,661,467,257

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,630,632,565

494,234

Markets across

37,330

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,871

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Pro Football: 49ers 2026 Win Total
kalshi
polymarket

Will the 49ers exceed 2026 wins?

Total volume:
$689,839
Volume 24h:
$5,193
52%
Liquidity:
$9,975
40%
Open interest:
$412,988
0.41%

7+ wins

 - Kalshi

7+ wins - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Feb 16, 2027

Will the San Francisco pro football team win at least 7 games this season?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 4% Illiquid market 93 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

7+ wins

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 24¢
24¢
N/A
$5,141
0%
13%
$4,500
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

6+ wins

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 5¢
5¢
N/A
$1,854
0%
5%
$1,754
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

8+ wins

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 2¢
2¢
N/A
$4,451
0%
47%
$3,259
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

9+ wins

Trade
96%
Yes 96¢No 5¢
1¢
N/A
$54,664
0.03%
24%
$20,042
3mo 3d
active
polymarket

8.5+ Wins

Trade
92%
Yes 93¢No 9¢
2¢
$700
$141
0%
17%
N/A
4mo 2d
active
kalshi

10+ wins

Trade
89%
Yes 89¢No 13¢
2¢
N/A
$112,785
0.01%
8%
$60,966
3mo 3d
active
polymarket

9.5+ Wins

Trade
87%
2%
Yes 88¢No 15¢
3¢
$1,076
$360
4%
43%
N/A
4mo 2d
active
kalshi

11+ wins

Trade
85%
Yes 86¢No 17¢
3¢
N/A
$107,166
0.15%
19%
$54,435
3mo 3d
active
polymarket

10.5+ Wins

Trade
82%
3%
Yes 82¢No 19¢
1¢
$469
$718
14%
72%
N/A
4mo 2d
active
kalshi

12+ wins

Trade
73%
Yes 71¢No 30¢
1¢
N/A
$105,456
0.13%
67%
$55,253
3mo 3d
active
polymarket

11.5+ Wins

Trade
71%
2%
Yes 71¢No 30¢
1¢
$4,009
$477
0.37%
119%
N/A
4mo 2d
active
polymarket

12.5+ Wins

Trade
53%
Yes 54¢No 49¢
3¢
$3,720
$4,035
6%
16%
N/A
4mo 2d
active
kalshi

13+ wins

Trade
49%
6%
Yes 56¢No 47¢
3¢
N/A
$126,925
1%
167%
$86,042
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

14+ wins

Trade
38%
3%
Yes 38¢No 63¢
1¢
N/A
$59,193
3%
122%
$37,053
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

15+ wins

Trade
24%
1%
Yes 24¢No 78¢
2¢
N/A
$39,360
0.55%
167%
$31,069
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

16+ wins

Trade
16%
5%
Yes 15¢No 91¢
6¢
N/A
$15,455
0.4%
132%
$14,546
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

17 wins

Trade
4%
4%
Yes 7¢No 96¢
3¢
N/A
$46,100
1%
139%
$39,112
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

5+ wins

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,417
N/A
N/A
$2,347
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

4+ wins

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,796
N/A
N/A
$1,347
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

3+ wins

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$999
N/A
N/A
$999
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

1+ wins

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$308
N/A
N/A
$235
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

2+ wins

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
$29
3mo 3d
Yes
Total markets: 22

Intro

This market tracks the San Francisco pro football team’s win total for the 2026 NFL regular season. Currently, the consensus probability—aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket—is 99.0% that the team will win at least 7 games. Resolution will be based on official NFL records of regular season wins, as defined by whether the San Francisco Pro Football team wins at least 9 games in the 2026-27 regular season. Keep an eye on the team’s performance as the regular season concludes, with resolution expected around February 16, 2027, at the end of the betting period.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The platforms offer different win total thresholds, creating SKU risk. Kalshi offers markets for exceeding specific win counts (1-17), while Polymarket focuses on over/under markets.Hero tip: Carefully compare the specific win total threshold offered on each platform before trading. Consider the implied probability of the 49ers achieving each threshold.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Polymarket markets resolve 'Yes' if the 49ers have *more than* a specified number of wins (e.g., 8.5, 9.5). "Otherwise this market will resolve to "No"."
  • Kalshi: Kalshi markets resolve 'Yes' if the 49ers win *at least* a specified number of games (1-17). "If the San Francisco Pro Football team wins at least 1 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only official regular-season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total. If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins. If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after February 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official NFL records (https://www.nfl.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the San Francisco Pro Football team's total regular season wins during the 2026-27 season. Resolution occurs when the team completes its regular season schedule. Each outcome corresponds to a minimum win threshold, ranging from 1 to 17 wins. The market resolves to Yes for each outcome if the team achieves at least that threshold of wins during the regular season.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard provides a consensus view of predictions on the 49ers 2026 win total market, aggregating data from multiple prediction platforms. Currently, the total volume across these platforms is $689,839, with $4,165 traded in the last 24 hours. Polymarket currently favors Will the San Francisco 49ers have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? at 92.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Will the San Francisco pro football team win at least 7 games this season? at 99.0%. The dashboard allows you to compare probabilities and trading volume across Polymarket and Kalshi, offering a comprehensive look at where the crowd stands on the 49ers' potential performance.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their belief about the 49ers’ win total. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional odds, particularly when there’s significant public interest and trading volume. The current volume of $689,839 suggests active participation in this market.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has a different user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, all of which can influence price discovery. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Furthermore, the liquidity available on each platform can vary, impacting how quickly prices adjust to new information. For example, Polymarket might see more activity from sophisticated traders, while Kalshi may attract a broader range of participants. These differing market forces contribute to the observed price differences in the 49ers 2026 win total market.

This market resolves around Feb 16, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final win total for the San Francisco 49ers in the 2026 NFL season will be used to determine the result of this market. The resolution will be based on official NFL statistics and records, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Trading will cease prior to this date, allowing for final price adjustments based on available information.

Numerous factors could influence the price of this market. Significant player injuries to key 49ers players, coaching changes, or major acquisitions through trades or free agency would all likely cause movement. Performance in the 2025 NFL season, including the development of young players and the team's overall trajectory, will also be closely watched. Unexpected rule changes or shifts in the competitive landscape of the NFC West could also impact predictions. With a current volume of $4,165, the market is sensitive to new information and evolving expectations.