TOTAL VOLUME:

$143b

24H VOL:

$111,424,783

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,661,467,257

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,630,632,565

494,234

Markets across

37,330

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,871

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Pro Football: 2026 Regular Season Win Totals
kalshi
polymarket

Pro Football: 2026 Regular Season Win Totals

Total volume:
$483,760
Volume 24h:
$2,959
96%
Liquidity:
$91,594
9%
Open interest:
$274,056
0.47%

4+ wins

 - Kalshi

4+ wins - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 18, 2027

Will the Atlanta pro football team win at least 4 games this season?

98%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 98¢ buys you 102 shares | Odds: 98% Total Payout: $102 | Net Profit: $2 Multiplier: 1.02x | ROI: 2% | APY: 8% 93 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4+ wins

Trade
98%
Yes 98¢No 6¢
4¢
N/A
$28,291
0%
0.22%
$25,665
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

3+ wins

Trade
97%
Yes 100¢No 4¢
4¢
N/A
$12,234
0%
0%
$12,012
3mo 3d
active
kalshi

5+ wins

Trade
90%
Yes 93¢No 13¢
6¢
N/A
$22,553
0%
14%
$18,136
3mo 3d
active
polymarket

Minnesota Vikings

Trade
89%
4%
Yes 91¢No 14¢
5¢
$1,675
$40
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 3w
active
polymarket

Jacksonville Jaguars

Trade
85%
Yes 86¢No 16¢
2¢
$1,783
$366
0%
12%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
polymarket

San Francisco 49ers

Trade
81%
4%
Yes 82¢No 20¢
2¢
$5,204
$1,241
28%
74%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
kalshi

6+ wins

Trade
80%
Yes 84¢No 21¢
5¢
N/A
$50,247
0.25%
12%
$32,497
3mo 3d
active
polymarket

Kansas City Chiefs

Trade
75%
Yes 77¢No 27¢
4¢
$3,740
$657
0%
724%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
polymarket

Buffalo Bills

Trade
75%
3%
Yes 76¢No 27¢
3¢
$2,885
$62
0%
24%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
polymarket

Denver Broncos

Trade
69%
10%
Yes 69¢No 32¢
1¢
$1,584
$485
33%
253%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
kalshi

7+ wins

Trade
66%
Yes 67¢No 34¢
1¢
N/A
$96,463
0.3%
2%
$50,194
3mo 3d
active
polymarket

Cleveland Browns

Trade
66%
Yes 67¢No 35¢
2¢
$3,160
$975
0%
241%
N/A
3mo 1d
active
polymarket

New York Jets

Trade
64%
2%
Yes 64¢No 37¢
1¢
$3,808
$20
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
polymarket

Las Vegas Raiders

Trade
62%
26%
Yes 98¢No 16¢
14¢
$766
$20
0%
0%
N/A
3mo 1d
active
polymarket

New England Patriots

Trade
62%
Yes 62¢No 39¢
1¢
$3,915
$484
0%
9%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
polymarket

Cincinnati Bengals

Trade
61%
Yes 61¢No 40¢
1¢
$6,875
$327
0.32%
32%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
kalshi

8+ wins

Trade
58%
6%
Yes 58¢No 46¢
4¢
N/A
$98,609
0.07%
8%
$61,092
3mo 3d
active
polymarket

Baltimore Ravens

Trade
57%
1%
Yes 57.5¢No 43.8¢
1.3¢
$1,683
$5,399
0%
6%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
polymarket

Chicago Bears

Trade
56%
1%
Yes 57¢No 45¢
2¢
$4,288
$856
0.37%
199%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
polymarket

Indianapolis Colts

Trade
55%
Yes 55¢No 46¢
1¢
$3,947
$1,744
0%
0%
N/A
3mo 1d
active
polymarket

Carolina Panthers

Trade
55%
Yes 55¢No 46¢
1¢
$4,826
$121
0%
12%
N/A
3mo 1d
active
polymarket

Atlanta Falcons

Trade
52%
Yes 52¢No 49¢
1¢
$2,543
$163
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
polymarket

Detroit Lions

Trade
45%
Yes 46¢No 56¢
2¢
$3,005
$940
8%
188%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
polymarket

Arizona Cardinals

Trade
45%
1%
Yes 45¢No 56¢
1¢
$3,741
$1,222
0.17%
9%
N/A
3mo 1d
active
polymarket

Pittsburgh Steelers

Trade
45%
Yes 45¢No 56¢
1¢
$5,690
$416
0%
272%
N/A
2mo 3w
active
Total markets: 25 of 49

Intro

This market tracks whether the Atlanta pro football team will win at least 4 games during the 2026 regular season. Currently, the consensus probability across Kalshi and Polymarket is 99.0% that they will achieve this. Resolution will be determined based on official NFL regular season results, specifically if the Atlanta team wins at least 12 games in the 2026-27 regular season. Keep an eye on the team’s performance throughout the 2026 season, with final resolution expected around January 18, 2027, following the conclusion of the regular season.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket asks about winning *more than* a specific number of games, while Kalshi asks about winning *at least* a specific number of games. This difference in phrasing and market structure creates a divergence.Hero tip: When comparing markets across platforms, remember that 'more than' and 'at least' are not equivalent. Consider the implications for your trading strategy.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on whether a team wins *more than* a specified number of games. If the NFL Regular Season is cancelled or postponed after January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, markets resolve to 50-50. Source: NFL.com.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve to 'Yes' if a team wins *at least* a specified number of games. Multiple markets exist for each possible win threshold (1-17). No cancellation clause is specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final regular season record of the listed team during the 2026 NFL Regular Season. If the listed team records more than the listed number of wins, the corresponding market will resolve to its corresponding "Over". Otherwise, it will resolve to its corresponding "Under". If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the listed team to record more than the listed number of wins per the rules of the NFL, the corresponding market will resolve to its corresponding "Under". If the NFL Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, these markets will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source will be official information from the National Football League (https://www.nfl.com); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the total number of regular season wins achieved by the Atlanta Pro Football team during the 2026-27 season. Each outcome corresponds to a specific win threshold: the team must accumulate at least that threshold to resolve to Yes. The thresholds range progressively from one win through seventeen wins. Outcomes are mutually exclusive and cumulative in nature—a team that achieves 10 wins satisfies all thresholds from 1 through 10 wins. Resolution uses official NFL records for regular season games only, excluding preseason, playoffs, and any other competitions. The final win total is determined at the conclusion of the regular season.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates real-time trading activity for the 2026 NFL win totals market. It provides a consensus view of predictions regarding each team’s regular season win count, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders on both platforms. Currently, the total volume across these venues is $483,760, with $1,553 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard allows you to compare probabilities and see which teams are favored to exceed or fall short of their projected win totals, offering a comprehensive look at market sentiment.

Prediction market odds often provide a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, this market reflects the aggregated predictions of informed traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges. Sportsbooks may be quicker to react to breaking news, but prediction markets can be more resistant to biases and may offer a more accurate forecast over time. Both offer valuable insights, but understanding their different mechanisms is key to interpreting the odds effectively.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Differences in trader participation, liquidity, and even the specific user interfaces can influence pricing. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform also attracts a slightly different mix of traders, leading to varying interpretations of the available information. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will the Minnesota Vikings win more than 8.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 88.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Will the Atlanta pro football team win at least 4 games this season? at 98.0%. These differences are normal and represent the independent assessment of each market.

This market resolves around Jan 18, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final regular season win-loss records for each NFL team will be used to determine whether the market resolves in favor of the ‘over’ or ‘under’ for each team's win total. The official NFL standings, as published by the league, will serve as the definitive source for this information. The outcome will be based on completed games during the 2026 NFL regular season.

Numerous factors could influence trading activity in this market. Significant player injuries, coaching changes, or unexpected team performance during the preseason and regular season will all likely impact prices. Major trades or free agent signings could also shift expectations. Even external factors, such as rule changes or shifts in the competitive landscape of the league, could play a role. Monitoring these events and their potential impact on team performance is crucial for understanding movements within this market.