TOTAL VOLUME:

$116.7b

24H VOL:

$87,676,891

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,167,738,175

332,964

Markets across

33,021

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,164

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner
predict
polymarket
kalshi

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Total volume:
$2,345,111
Volume 24h:
$79,383
126%
Liquidity:
$4,339,035
8%
Open interest:
$168
0%

Tyler Shough

 - Kalshi

Tyler Shough - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Feb 15, 2027

Will Tyler Shough be selected as a finalist for the Pro Football Most Valuable Player award in the 2026-27 season?

75%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 54¢ buys you 185 shares | Odds: 75% Total Payout: $185 | Net Profit: $85 Multiplier: 1.85x | ROI: 85% | APY: 267% 172 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tyler Shough

Trade
75%
Yes 54¢No 97¢
51¢
N/A
$108
0%
8%
$108
5mo 3w 1d
active
kalshi

Jordan Love

Trade
97%
Yes 72¢No 99¢
71¢
N/A
$10
0%
0%
$10
5mo 3w 1d
active
polymarket

Jordan Love

Trade
4%
Yes 3.8¢No 96.3¢
0.1¢
$11,830
$5,883
0.34%
81%
N/A
5mo 3w
active
predict

Jordan Love

Trade
3%
Yes 3.9¢No 97.5¢
1.4¢
$158,054
$8,749
0%
0.62%
N/A
5mo 3w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
34.7%
Yes 26.6¢No 97.6¢
Avg: 24.2¢Max: 71¢
kalshi

Justin Herbert

Trade
82%
Yes 82¢No 97¢
79¢
N/A
$0
0%
0%
$0
5mo 3w 1d
active
polymarket

Justin Herbert

Trade
12%
Yes 12¢No 89¢
1¢
$16,374
$45,794
0.89%
4%
N/A
5mo 3w
active
predict

Justin Herbert

Trade
10%
Yes 10.1¢No 90¢
0.1¢
$84,429
$147,770
0%
81%
N/A
5mo 3w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
34.7%
Yes 34.7¢No 92¢
Avg: 26.7¢Max: 79¢
kalshi

Drake Maye

Trade
81%
Yes 81¢No 93¢
74¢
N/A
$1
0%
0%
$1
5mo 3w 1d
active
polymarket

Drake Maye

Trade
10%
Yes 10¢No 91¢
1¢
$13,680
$11,355
3%
19%
N/A
5mo 3w
active
predict

Drake Maye

Trade
8%
Yes 7.7¢No 92.4¢
0.1¢
$52,899
$107,669
0%
99%
N/A
5mo 3w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
33%
Yes 32.9¢No 92.1¢
Avg: 25¢Max: 74¢
kalshi

Brock Purdy

Trade
84%
Yes 73¢No 99¢
72¢
N/A
$24
0%
0%
$24
5mo 3w 1d
active
predict

Brock Purdy

Trade
6%
Yes 6.8¢No 94.3¢
1.1¢
$80,535
$65,911
0.08%
38%
N/A
5mo 3w
active
polymarket

Brock Purdy

Trade
5%
4%
Yes 6.8¢No 96.8¢
3.6¢
$18,274
$15,321
9%
208%
N/A
5mo 3w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
31.7%
Yes 28.9¢No 96.7¢
Avg: 25.6¢Max: 72¢
kalshi

Caleb Williams

Trade
73%
Yes 67¢No 88¢
55¢
N/A
$24
0%
6%
$19
5mo 3w 1d
active
polymarket

Caleb Williams

Trade
9%
Yes 9.4¢No 90.7¢
0.1¢
$13,281
$14,890
0.95%
73%
N/A
5mo 3w
active
predict

Caleb Williams

Trade
8%
Yes 9¢No 92.4¢
1.4¢
$51,483
$77,416
0.41%
42%
N/A
5mo 3w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
30%
Yes 28.5¢No 90.4¢
Avg: 18.8¢Max: 55¢
polymarket

Josh Allen

Trade
12%
Yes 12¢No 89¢
1¢
$19,452
$11,621
0.9%
68%
N/A
5mo 3w
active
predict

Josh Allen

Trade
9%
Yes 9¢No 91.1¢
0.1¢
$42,966
$83,948
0%
32%
N/A
5mo 3w
active
kalshi

Josh Allen

Trade
N/A
N/A
74¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo 3w 1d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
10.5%
Yes 10.5¢No 90.1¢
Avg: 25¢Max: 74¢
predict

Joe Burrow

Trade
9%
Yes 9.1¢No 91¢
0.1¢
$56,461
$60,652
0%
71%
N/A
5mo 3w
active
polymarket

Joe Burrow

Trade
9%
Yes 9¢No 91.1¢
0.1¢
$15,483
$14,800
0.14%
33%
N/A
5mo 3w
active
kalshi

Joe Burrow

Trade
N/A
N/A
81¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo 3w 1d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
9%
Yes 9¢No 91.1¢
Avg: 27.1¢Max: 81¢
predict

Lamar Jackson

Trade
9%
Yes 9.1¢No 91¢
0.1¢
$69,922
$36,020
0%
2%
N/A
5mo 3w
active
polymarket

Lamar Jackson

Trade
9%
Yes 9¢No 92¢
1¢
$15,890
$24,451
0.08%
7%
N/A
5mo 3w
active
kalshi

Lamar Jackson

Trade
N/A
N/A
80¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo 3w 1d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
9%
Yes 9¢No 91.5¢
Avg: 27¢Max: 80¢
Total markets: 25 of 95

Intro

This market tracks whether Jordan Love will be selected as a finalist for the Pro Football Most Valuable Player award in the 2026-27 season, with the current aggregated consensus at 97.0% across Predict, Polymarket, and Kalshi. The outcome will be resolved by the official NFL announcement, with credible reporting as a secondary source. Watch for updates around the official NFL announcement scheduled for February 15, 2027.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same core resolution logic based on the official NFL MVP winner, with consistent tie-breaking and cancellation rules.Primary resolution logic: Official NFL announcement, with credible reporting as a secondary source

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolve to the player declared as the official NFL MVP winner for the 2026-27 season
  • In case of a tie, resolve to the player with the alphabetically first last name
  • If the season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, or no winner is declared by that date, resolve to "Other"

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tie Resolution: If multiple players are officially named MVP winners, the market resolves to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically
  • Season Cancellation: If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, or no winner is declared by that date, all markets resolve to "Other"
Timing: Resolution occurs after the official NFL MVP announcement, no later than February 28, 2027Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Each market assesses whether a particular player is selected as a finalist for the Most Valuable Player award during the 2026-27 Pro Football season. The outcome is determined by announcements from specified Source Agencies. If these agencies do not declare the finalists before announcing the award winner, all markets automatically resolve to No. The markets are independent but share the same resolution conditions and sources for verification, ensuring consistency across all player-specific assessments.

Predict

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the 2026 NFL MVP race aggregates real-time data across multiple platforms, showing how traders price the chances of different players winning the award. It displays combined volume of $2,070,726 and 24-hour volume of $76,577, letting you see where the market consensus sits. Because this market is mirrored on several venues, the dashboard also highlights any notable divergences, giving you a clear snapshot of market momentum and sentiment as the season approaches.

On Polymarket and Predict, prices can vary because each platform has its own user base, liquidity conditions, and trading dynamics. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one venue might attract more sharp traders who react quickly to news, while the other could have a broader retail base that moves more slowly. This can lead to temporary mispricings or different implied probabilities for the same outcomes. Additionally, differences in fee structures, order types, and market depth can amplify these variations, especially in the weeks leading up to the season when new information emerges.

This market resolves around Feb 15, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner is determined by the official NFL announcement following the regular season and playoffs, and the market will close when that announcement is made and reported across major sports news outlets.

Several signals could shift probabilities in this market over the next season. Strong preseason performances, breakout training camp sessions, and early-season stats leaders tend to drive prices upward for emerging contenders. Conversely, injuries to front-runners, coaching changes, or surprising team dynamics can rapidly depress a player’s chances. Quarterback performance remains a major driver, but late-season form, playoff momentum, and even voting trends among media members can create sharp movements in the weeks before the award is announced.