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406,065
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Closed: Sep 29, 1:25 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 3 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more rushing yards in Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per carry average in Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in rushing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 3 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more rushing yards in Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per carry average in Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in rushing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, as they aggregate diverse perspectives and incentivize informed trading.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular player leading the NFL rushing touchdowns race. The price of each share reflects the implied probability of that player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment of the market participants. The market is driven by supply and demand, with higher demand pushing prices up and lower demand pushing prices down, ultimately determining the perceived likelihood of each player’s success.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official NFL statistics are released and the leader in rushing touchdowns for the 2026-27 regular season Week 3 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the most rushing touchdowns at the conclusion of Week 3 will be declared the winner. The resolution will be based on the official NFL data and will be determined independently of the platform.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Player injuries are a major catalyst, as the absence of a key running back would dramatically alter the odds. Preseason performance and training camp reports will also influence trader sentiment, providing early indications of player form. Unexpected trades or changes in team offensive schemes could also shift the probabilities. Finally, any news regarding coaching decisions or potential rule changes that affect running plays could move this market as traders adjust their expectations.