TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 29, 1:27 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 3 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards in Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage in Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 3 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards in Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage in Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction markets like this one tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially when forecasting events with many influencing factors. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction market prices are driven purely by trader opinions. However, it's common to see initial sportsbook lines move closer to prediction market prices as more information becomes available and bettors refine their assessments. Currently, it’s worth comparing the probabilities offered here to those found at major sportsbooks to see how opinions differ on the likely winner of the 2026-27 NFL passing touchdowns race.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the NFL’s official statistics will be used to determine the player who throws the most passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 regular season. Any ties will be resolved according to the NFL’s tie-breaking procedures. The final result will be based on the official league data and will be used to settle all outstanding shares in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Preseason performance, including training camp reports and any early games, will likely cause shifts in probabilities. Major player injuries to key quarterbacks or their receiving corps are also significant catalysts. Unexpected trades or changes in coaching staff could also influence the market. Finally, any news regarding rule changes that might favor certain passing offenses could lead to adjustments in the odds for the 2026-27 NFL passing touchdowns race. Keep an eye on these developments as the season approaches and unfolds.