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$134.1b
24H VOL:
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 29, 1:27 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most interceptions thrown. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 3 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with a higher interception percentage (interceptions thrown divided by pass attempts) in Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with fewer passing touchdowns in Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in interceptions thrown within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most interceptions thrown. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 3 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with a higher interception percentage (interceptions thrown divided by pass attempts) in Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with fewer passing touchdowns in Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in interceptions thrown within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the season, as the market incorporates factors that sportsbooks may not immediately account for, like team dynamics or player form. Examining these differences can reveal valuable insights.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in each player’s likelihood of leading the league in interceptions thrown. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the field, creating a dynamic and real-time forecast. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence in each player’s chances.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official NFL statistics for Week 3 interceptions thrown are verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the most interceptions thrown during Week 3 will be declared the winner. The data will be sourced from official NFL records and verified to ensure accuracy. It's important to note that the resolution is based solely on the official statistics released by the NFL for the specified timeframe.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key quarterbacks – injuries, changes in offensive strategy, or even weather conditions affecting passing games – could shift the odds. Unexpected performances in early-season games, especially those highlighting a quarterback’s tendency to throw interceptions, will also be influential. Furthermore, any adjustments to team defensive schemes designed to pressure opposing quarterbacks could move the market as traders reassess the probabilities for each player. Monitoring these developments is crucial for informed trading.