TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Pro Football: 2026-27 Week 2 Passing Yards Leader
polymarket
kalshi

Who will lead in passing yards?

Volume:
$11,643

Patrick Mahomes

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 22, 2026

Closed: Sep 22, 12:09 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes

View
100%
98%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$567
N/A
N/A
$512
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Patrick Mahomes

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$324
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Josh Allen

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,073
N/A
N/A
$8,054
Settled
No
polymarket

Josh Allen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Joe Burrow

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$504
N/A
N/A
$403
Settled
No
polymarket

Joe Burrow

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Dak Prescott

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$492
N/A
N/A
$426
Settled
No
polymarket

Dak Prescott

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Matthew Stafford

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$319
N/A
N/A
$313
Settled
No
polymarket

Matthew Stafford

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bryce Young

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$299
N/A
N/A
$294
Settled
No
polymarket

Bryce Young

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Caleb Williams

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$295
N/A
N/A
$275
Settled
No
polymarket

Caleb Williams

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Trevor Lawrence

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$127
N/A
N/A
$102
Settled
No
polymarket

Trevor Lawrence

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Brock Purdy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$117
N/A
N/A
$107
Settled
No
polymarket

Brock Purdy

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Justin Herbert

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$86
N/A
N/A
$81
Settled
No
polymarket

Justin Herbert

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

C.J. Stroud

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$71
N/A
N/A
$21
Settled
No
polymarket

C.J. Stroud

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sam Darnold

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jacoby Brissett

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
polymarket

Jacoby Brissett

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 110

Description

This prediction group asks which NFL player will have the most passing yards in Week 2 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Markets exist on Polymarket for a large number of individual players, and on Kalshi for a subset of those players.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket offers a comprehensive list of players, including a catch-all 'Other' option, while Kalshi only lists specific players. This creates SKU risk for Kalshi markets.Hero tip: Consider the risk that a player not listed on Kalshi could lead in passing yards, making Polymarket's 'Other' option a potential hedge. Focus on Kalshi markets only if you are confident a listed player will win.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the player with the most passing yards, with tiebreakers for completed passes and yards per attempt. Includes an 'Other' option for any player not explicitly listed.
  • Kalshi: Each market resolves to 'Yes' if a specific player leads in passing yards. No 'Other' option exists, meaning any player not listed on Kalshi cannot win.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 2 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing yards. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 2 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more completed passes in Week 2 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per passing attempt in Week 2 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 2 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If Week 2 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Each market corresponds to a specific quarterback competing to achieve the highest passing yardage across all Pro Football games during Week 2 of the 2026 season. If the named quarterback records the most passing yards that week, the respective market resolves to Yes. If the quarterback does not participate in any game during Week 2, the market automatically resolves to No. In cases where multiple players tie for the highest passing yards, the payout is divided equally among all tied markets at a rate of 1/N, where N represents the number of players sharing the lead. Winners receive $1 minus the Yes payout amount. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates individual predictions. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there's substantial trading volume. However, the spread between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds can vary significantly depending on the event and the amount of information available.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, all of which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the liquidity on each platform can vary, leading to price discrepancies. For instance, if one platform has significantly more volume, its prices may be more efficient and reflect a stronger consensus. Differences in how traders interpret available information, such as player injuries or team matchups, can also contribute to these price variations.