TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Pro Football: 2026-27 Week 1 Scrimmage Yards Leader
kalshi
polymarket

Who will lead in scrimmage yards?

Volume:
$7,965

Kenneth Walker III

 - Polymarket

Kenneth Walker III - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 15, 3:03 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Kenneth Walker III

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$342
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New Orleans: 425+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$263
N/A
N/A
$261
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New Orleans: 250+

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$251
N/A
N/A
$226
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Detroit: 300+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$242
N/A
N/A
$232
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New Orleans: 325+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$240
N/A
N/A
$240
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Detroit: 275+

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$239
N/A
N/A
$239
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New Orleans: 400+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$224
N/A
N/A
$224
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New Orleans: 275+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$192
N/A
N/A
$185
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New Orleans: 450+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$187
N/A
N/A
$177
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New Orleans: 300+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$178
N/A
N/A
$173
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Detroit: 325+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$177
N/A
N/A
$177
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New Orleans: 375+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$176
N/A
N/A
$161
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Detroit: 350+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$171
N/A
N/A
$161
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New Orleans: 350+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$161
N/A
N/A
$161
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Detroit: 250+

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$121
N/A
N/A
$121
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jahmyr Gibbs

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$397
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Chris Olave

View
0%
70%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$302
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Rashee Rice

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$119
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

J.K. Dobbins

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$99
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jaylen Waddle

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Travis Kelce

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$79
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Detroit: 450+

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$52
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
polymarket

Carnell Tate

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

De'Von Achane

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Greg Dulcich

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 130

Description

This prediction group concerns which NFL player will accumulate the most scrimmage yards (rushing yards plus receiving yards) during Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Tiebreakers are defined based on scrimmage touchdowns and scrimmage yards per touch. The markets include a large number of individual player questions and a separate set of markets relating to yardage totals for a specific game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The Polymarket markets focus on identifying the top individual player, while the Kalshi markets concern team yardage totals in a single game.Hero tip: These markets are unrelated and should be treated as such. Trading strategies and analysis will differ significantly.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve to the player with the most scrimmage yards in Week 1, with tiebreakers for touchdowns and yards per touch. Resolution source is official NFL data.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve to 'Yes' if a specific team exceeds a certain yardage threshold in a single game. Resolution source is official NFL data.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage yards (rushing yards plus receiving yards). Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more scrimmage touchdowns (rushing touchdowns plus receiving touchdowns) in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher average of scrimmage yards per touch (scrimmage yards divided by the sum of rushing attempts and receptions) in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in scrimmage yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the total offensive yards recorded by each team in the New Orleans vs Detroit Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets cover multiple yardage thresholds for both teams, with each threshold representing a separate condition for resolution.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market’s probabilities emerge from real-money trading. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses player performance and team matchups. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can provide a more comprehensive view of the potential outcomes for the NFL scrimmage yards race.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and risk tolerance, leading to distinct trading behaviors. Additionally, the liquidity and trading volume on each platform can influence price discovery. Polymarket might have more traders specializing in NFL analysis, while Kalshi could be more heavily influenced by general market sentiment. These differences in user composition and trading dynamics can result in varying probabilities for the same event, creating opportunities for arbitrage and informed trading in this market.