TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 2:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This prediction market group centers around scrimmage touchdowns scored in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL season. Polymarket focuses on identifying the player with the *most* scrimmage touchdowns, while Predict offers markets on individual players simply scoring *a* touchdown. This creates a fundamental difference in resolution criteria.
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage touchdowns (rushing touchdowns plus receiving touchdowns). Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more scrimmage yards (rushing yards plus receiving yards) in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per touch average (scrimmage yards divided by the sum of rushing attempts and receptions) in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in scrimmage touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
These markets determine whether a specified Tampa Bay player or the team's defense scores the first touchdown in the game against Cincinnati. For each market, if the designated player or unit scores the first touchdown for Tampa Bay, the market resolves to Yes. If the player is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a player takes a snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the outcome is determined by whether they score the first touchdown. If Tampa Bay fails to score any touchdowns during the game, the 'No Tampa Bay Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all individual player markets resolve to No. These rules apply uniformly across all player-specific and defensive unit markets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player scores a touchdown at any point during regulation or overtime during Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. This market will resolve to "No" if the listed player does not score a touchdown during regulation or overtime. Qualifying Touchdowns: a rushing touchdown by the player, a receiving touchdown caught by the player, a special teams touchdown (e.g. punt/kick return). Passing touchdowns do not qualify. Defensive touchdowns will be credited to the defensive unit, not individually credited to the player who scores. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count. If a Week 1 game is canceled or postponed past September 30th 2026, 11:59 PM ET the associated market will resolve according to the accrued touchdowns at the time of resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Postgame stat corrections performed by the NFL are not relevant to the resolution of these markets.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms by which they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and aim to balance their risk, while prediction markets rely on the wisdom of the crowd. This means prediction markets can sometimes incorporate information more quickly and efficiently than sportsbooks, particularly regarding factors not easily quantifiable. However, sportsbooks have the benefit of established infrastructure and regulatory oversight. The spread between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds can vary, but often converges as the event approaches.