TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Pro Football: 2026-27 Week 1 Scrimmage Touchdowns Leader
kalshi
polymarket
predict

Who will lead in scrimmage touchdowns?

Volume:
$13,581

Bucky Irving

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 2:48 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Bucky Irving

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,477
N/A
N/A
$5,452
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Bucky Irving

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Derrick Henry

100%
99%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$455
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Derrick Henry

62%
Yes 62¢No 38¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Jahmyr Gibbs

70%
Yes 70¢No 30¢
—
N/A
$413
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jahmyr Gibbs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Godwin Jr.

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$342
N/A
N/A
$342
Settled
No
kalshi

Tez Johnson

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$338
N/A
N/A
$338
Settled
No
kalshi

Ted Hurst III

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$149
N/A
N/A
$149
Settled
No
polymarket

Chris Olave

0%
74%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$140
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Greg Dulcich

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Dallas Goedert

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Cade Otton

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$93
N/A
N/A
$83
Settled
No
polymarket

Cade Otton

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Charlie Kolar

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Javonte Williams

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

CeeDee Lamb

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

CeeDee Lamb

N/A
N/A
44¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jake Ferguson

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Saquon Barkley

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Saquon Barkley

N/A
N/A
57¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

DeVonta Smith

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Cam Skattebo

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Malik Nabers

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Isaiah Likely

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 134

Description

This prediction market group centers around scrimmage touchdowns scored in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL season. Polymarket focuses on identifying the player with the *most* scrimmage touchdowns, while Predict offers markets on individual players simply scoring *a* touchdown. This creates a fundamental difference in resolution criteria.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The Polymarket markets ask which player will lead in total scrimmage touchdowns, while Predict markets ask if a specific player will score at least one touchdown.Hero tip: If you believe a player will have a strong Week 1, consider both markets. Predict if you think they'll score *at all*, Polymarket if you think they'll outperform everyone else.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the player with the most scrimmage touchdowns (rushing + receiving). Tiebreakers involve scrimmage yards and then yards per touch. If Week 1 is cancelled or significantly shortened, resolves to 'Other'.
  • Predict: Resolves to 'Yes' if the player scores any touchdown (rushing, receiving, or special teams) during Week 1. Games postponed past September 30th, 2026 resolve based on accrued touchdowns at the time of postponement.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage touchdowns (rushing touchdowns plus receiving touchdowns). Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more scrimmage yards (rushing yards plus receiving yards) in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per touch average (scrimmage yards divided by the sum of rushing attempts and receptions) in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in scrimmage touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

These markets determine whether a specified Tampa Bay player or the team's defense scores the first touchdown in the game against Cincinnati. For each market, if the designated player or unit scores the first touchdown for Tampa Bay, the market resolves to Yes. If the player is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a player takes a snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the outcome is determined by whether they score the first touchdown. If Tampa Bay fails to score any touchdowns during the game, the 'No Tampa Bay Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all individual player markets resolve to No. These rules apply uniformly across all player-specific and defensive unit markets.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player scores a touchdown at any point during regulation or overtime during Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. This market will resolve to "No" if the listed player does not score a touchdown during regulation or overtime. Qualifying Touchdowns: a rushing touchdown by the player, a receiving touchdown caught by the player, a special teams touchdown (e.g. punt/kick return). Passing touchdowns do not qualify. Defensive touchdowns will be credited to the defensive unit, not individually credited to the player who scores. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count. If a Week 1 game is canceled or postponed past September 30th 2026, 11:59 PM ET the associated market will resolve according to the accrued touchdowns at the time of resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Postgame stat corrections performed by the NFL are not relevant to the resolution of these markets.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on who will lead the 2026-27 NFL scrimmage touchdown race in Week 1. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $13,581, with $7,200 traded in the last 24 hours. This indicates considerable interest in predicting the top performer. The dashboard aggregates data from both venues to provide a comprehensive overview of the market, showing how traders are pricing the probabilities of different players achieving the most scrimmage touchdowns during the opening week of the season. It’s a dynamic snapshot of collective prediction.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms by which they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and aim to balance their risk, while prediction markets rely on the wisdom of the crowd. This means prediction markets can sometimes incorporate information more quickly and efficiently than sportsbooks, particularly regarding factors not easily quantifiable. However, sportsbooks have the benefit of established infrastructure and regulatory oversight. The spread between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds can vary, but often converges as the event approaches.