TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Pro Football: 2026-27 Week 1 Rushing Yards Leader
polymarket
kalshi

Who will lead in rushing yards?

Volume:
$5,932

Kenneth Walker III

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 15, 2:48 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Kenneth Walker III

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
9.9¢
N/A
$395
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kenneth Walker III

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
Yes
kalshi

James Cook III

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$246
N/A
N/A
$182
Settled
No
polymarket

James Cook III

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$79
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jahmyr Gibbs

View
0%
75%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$144
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jahmyr Gibbs

View
0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$133
N/A
N/A
$46
Settled
No
kalshi

Derrick Henry

View
0%
70%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
polymarket

Derrick Henry

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$79
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jacory Croskey-Merritt

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$99
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kaelon Black

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Dylan Sampson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$89
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tyjae Spears

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$89
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Keaton Mitchell

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$89
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Cam Skattebo

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$89
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Cam Skattebo

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
$16
Settled
No
polymarket

Rachaad White

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$89
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sione Vaki

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$89
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Aaron Jones Sr.

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$89
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jordan Mason

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$89
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jordan Mason

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kenny Gainwell

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$89
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jeremiyah Love

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$89
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tyler Allgeier

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$89
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyler Allgeier

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Christian McCaffrey

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$89
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 110

Description

This prediction group asks participants to forecast which NFL player will have the most rushing yards during Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. The markets consider all players eligible to participate in Week 1 games.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi lists individual players, while Polymarket includes a large 'Other' option, creating SKU risk.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of a player not listed on Polymarket leading in rushing yards when evaluating market prices.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to a specific player or 'another player' if no listed player leads in rushing yards. Includes a large number of individual player markets, plus a catch-all 'another player' option.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to the player with the most rushing yards in Week 1, with no 'other' option. Lists a comprehensive set of individual players.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more rushing touchdowns in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per carry average in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in rushing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether the specified player records the most rushing yards across all professional football games in Week 1 of the 2026 season. If the designated player achieves the highest yardage, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Should the player not participate in any game during Week 1, the market automatically resolves to No. In cases where multiple players tie for the highest rushing yards, the market resolves to a fractional outcome of 1/N, where N represents the number of players sharing the top position. Payouts for No outcomes are calculated as $1 minus the Yes payout, ensuring proportional returns to market holders based on the resolved outcome and tied conditions.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a more diverse range of opinions than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the wisdom of many individual traders. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities, especially when public sentiment deviates from expert analysis. Typically, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional odds, particularly closer to the event date, as more information becomes available and trading volume increases.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and fee structures, which can influence price discovery. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Furthermore, differing liquidity levels on each platform can lead to price discrepancies – a large trade on one platform might not have the same impact on the other. The volume of trading on each platform also plays a role; higher volume generally leads to more efficient price discovery. These differences create opportunities for arbitrage traders to profit from price variations.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL season. Preseason injuries to key running backs would undoubtedly shift probabilities, as would changes in team offensive schemes or coaching decisions. Significant news regarding player contracts or trades could also influence trading activity. Late-breaking reports on player health or depth chart changes will likely cause rapid adjustments in the odds on both Polymarket and Kalshi. Keep an eye on training camp reports and any news related to the leading contenders.