TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Pro Football: 2026-27 Week 1 Passing Yards Leader
polymarket
kalshi

Who will lead in passing yards?

Volume:
$3,757

Tyler Shough

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 15, 2:17 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Tyler Shough

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$822
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tyler Shough

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
$53
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Josh Allen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$114
N/A
N/A
$111
Settled
No
polymarket

Josh Allen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jordan Love

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$107
N/A
N/A
$93
Settled
No
polymarket

Jordan Love

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Bo Nix

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bo Nix

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Patrick Mahomes

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$79
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Dak Prescott

View
0%
61%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Dak Prescott

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jaxson Dart

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jaxson Dart

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Joe Burrow

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$68
N/A
N/A
$68
Settled
No
polymarket

Joe Burrow

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kyle Allen

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Malik Willis

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Malik Willis

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kyle McCord

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Drake Maye

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Drake Maye

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tommy DeVito

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Geno Smith

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Geno Smith

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Cade Klubnik

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 111

Description

This prediction market asks which NFL player will have the most passing yards in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL season. Multiple platforms offer markets on individual players achieving this feat.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi offers a comprehensive 'all-in-one' market, while Polymarket provides individual markets for a subset of players and an 'Other' option, creating SKU risk.Hero tip: Diversify your positions across platforms to hedge against the possibility of a surprise winner not explicitly listed on Polymarket. Focus on players with high upside potential on Kalshi.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Polymarket offers individual 'Yes/No' markets for specific players. Resolution depends on a single player achieving the highest passing yards in Week 1. Includes an 'Other' option.
  • Kalshi: Kalshi offers a single market where a 'Yes' outcome corresponds to any listed player having the most passing yards. The market covers a much broader range of potential winners.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing yards. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more completed passes in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per passing attempt in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether the named quarterback records the most passing yards across all Pro Football games in Week 1 of the 2026 season. If the specified quarterback does not participate in any game that week, the market resolves to No. In cases where multiple players tie for the highest passing yards, the payout is divided equally among all tied outcomes at a rate of 1/N, where N represents the number of players sharing the lead. No holder will receive $1 minus the Yes payout in tied scenarios. The markets are independent and operate under these conditions without affiliation to the governing league.

Frequently asked questions

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can differ due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, which can influence price discovery. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Additionally, differing levels of liquidity and trading volume on each platform can create temporary price discrepancies. For example, a large buy order on Polymarket might temporarily inflate prices there, while Kalshi remains relatively stable. The 24-hour volume is currently $1,062 across both platforms, which can affect price sensitivity.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Preseason performance, including training camp reports and exhibition games, will likely influence trader sentiment. Any news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team strategies could also cause shifts in probabilities. Major media coverage and expert analysis can also sway opinions. Unexpected developments, such as a key player trade or a significant rule change, could also move the market. Keep an eye on news related to potential starting quarterbacks and their respective offensive lines, as these are key indicators for the 2026-27 NFL passing yards race.