TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 8:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether Karim Lopez will be selected in the top five of the 2026 professional basketball draft. The leading outcome currently stands at 99.0% probability. Resolution is determined by official draft results from the 2026 Pro Basketball draft. Watch for Lopez's performance during the remainder of the college basketball season and pre-draft evaluations leading up to the draft on July 7, 2026.
If Darryn Peterson is drafted top 5 in the 2026 Pro Basketball draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If AJ Dybantsa is drafted top 5 in the 2026 Pro Basketball draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cameron Boozer is drafted top 5 in the 2026 Pro Basketball draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Caleb Wilson is drafted top 5 in the 2026 Pro Basketball draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kingston Flemings is drafted top 5 in the 2026 Pro Basketball draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mikel Brown Jr. is drafted top 5 in the 2026 Pro Basketball draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Braylon Mullins is drafted top 5 in the 2026 Pro Basketball draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nate Ament is drafted top 5 in the 2026 Pro Basketball draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yaxel Lendeborg is drafted top 5 in the 2026 Pro Basketball draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Darius Acuff Jr. is drafted top 5 in the 2026 Pro Basketball draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jayden Quaintance is drafted top 5 in the 2026 Pro Basketball draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Koa Peat is drafted top 5 in the 2026 Pro Basketball draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Karim Lopez is drafted top 5 in the 2026 Pro Basketball draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chris Cenac Jr. is drafted top 5 in the 2026 Pro Basketball draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Thomas Haugh is drafted top 5 in the 2026 Pro Basketball draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Patrick Ngongba II is drafted top 5 in the 2026 Pro Basketball draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hannes Steinbach is drafted top 5 in the 2026 Pro Basketball draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Labaron Philon Jr. is drafted top 5 in the 2026 Pro Basketball draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bennett Stirtz is drafted top 5 in the 2026 Pro Basketball draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cameron Carr is drafted top 5 in the 2026 Pro Basketball draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Keaton Wagler is drafted top 5 in the 2026 Pro Basketball draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brayden Burries is drafted top 5 in the 2026 Pro Basketball draft, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-time consensus from thousands of traders betting their own capital, whereas traditional sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin. Prediction markets often price draft outcomes more efficiently because participants have direct financial incentive to forecast accurately. Sportsbooks may lag behind market-driven repricing when new information surfaces, such as workout performances or medical evaluations. Comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks can reveal which venues view top-five draft prospects most bullishly or bearishly, though prediction markets typically adjust faster to breaking news.
The Pro Basketball Players Drafted Top 5 market resolves on Jul 7, 2026, coinciding with the conclusion of the first round of the 2026 NBA Draft. The outcome is determined by the official draft selections announced by the NBA, specifically which players are called in picks one through five. Once the fifth pick is announced, all related contracts settle according to whether each player was or was not selected in that range. Resolution is objective and based solely on the public draft order and team selections as recorded by the NBA.
Major catalysts include college basketball tournament performances, NBA Combine measurements and athletic testing, pro day workouts, and injury announcements affecting prospect stock. Mock drafts from respected analysts and team front-office signals can shift odds significantly. Trade activity among lottery teams reshuffles draft order and changes which prospects teams target. Media reports on team preferences, coaching staff evaluations, and financial considerations all influence trader positioning. As draft night approaches, final pre-draft workouts and last-minute team meetings often trigger sharp repricing on Kalshi as new information crystallizes market expectations for the top five selections.