TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 11:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether Keaton Wagler will be selected in the first round of the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, currently priced at 98.0%. The outcome will be determined by official results from the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, scheduled for June 25, 2026. Watch for pre-draft evaluations, combine performance, and team scouting reports leading up to draft day to gauge whether Wagler maintains first-round projection status.
If Darryn Peterson is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If AJ Dybantsa is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cameron Boozer is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Caleb Wilson is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kingston Flemings is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mikel Brown Jr. is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nate Ament is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Isaiah Evans is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yaxel Lendeborg is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Darius Acuff Jr. is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jayden Quaintance is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Koa Peat is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Keaton Wagler is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brayden Burries is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Karim Lopez is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Labaron Philon Jr. is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aday Mara is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hannes Steinbach is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chris Cenac Jr. is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cameron Carr is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bennett Stirtz is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Christian Anderson is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Morez Johnson Jr. is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Allen Graves is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Henri Veesaar is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dailyn Swain is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Amari Allen is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ebuka Okorie is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Meleek Thomas is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joshua Jefferson is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alex Karaban is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tyler Tanner is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Juke Harris is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Zuby Ejiofor is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tounde Yessoufou is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Luigi Suigo is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Milan Momcilovic is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sergio de Larrea is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryan Conwell is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Braden Smith is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tarris Reed Jr. is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jaden Bradley is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Richie Saunders is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matt Able is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kylan Boswell is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Malachi Moreno is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Emanuel Sharp is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bruce Thornton is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tamin Lipsey is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Baba Miller is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dame Sarr is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trevon Brazile is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rueben Chinyelu is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ugonna Onyenso is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Billy Richmond III is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Andrej Stojakovic is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tyler Bilodeau is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ja'Kobi Gillespie is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Milos Uzan is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes. If Felix Okpara is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment and continuous trading rather than fixed opening lines. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds to manage liability and balance action, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from thousands of traders with direct financial incentive to price outcomes accurately. For first-round draft prospects, prediction markets may respond faster to injury reports, performance changes, or combine results than sportsbooks, creating opportunities to identify mispricings relative to public betting consensus.
The Pro Basketball Players Drafted in the 1st Round market resolves on Jun 25, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official results of the NBA draft, specifically which players are selected in the first round. Contracts tied to players drafted in the first round resolve to 100 cents (full payout), while contracts for players not selected in the first round or drafted in later rounds resolve to 0 cents (no payout). The resolution is based on the final draft order and selections as announced by the NBA.
Several catalysts can shift odds for first-round draft prospects. Strong or weak college basketball performances during the season directly influence draft stock. NBA combine results, athletic measurements, and skill evaluations in spring can dramatically alter market prices. Injury announcements or recovery updates affect perceived draft position. Coaching changes, team needs, and mock draft updates from analysts also drive trading. Player declarations to enter or withdraw from the draft, coaching interviews, and media reports about team interest all generate price movement. As draft day approaches, final team workouts and pre-draft interviews become increasingly influential on market sentiment.