TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Pro Basketball #15 Overall Pick
kalshi

Pro Basketball #15 Overall Pick

Volume:
$235,918

Dailyn Swain

 - Kalshi

Dailyn Swain - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 24, 2026

Closed: Jun 23, 9:46 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Dailyn Swain

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$26,533
N/A
N/A
$26,195
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cameron Carr

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$109,829
N/A
N/A
$87,699
Settled
No
kalshi

Labaron Philon Jr.

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$49,499
N/A
N/A
$45,585
Settled
No
kalshi

Christian Anderson

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,251
N/A
N/A
$8,158
Settled
No
kalshi

Jayden Quaintance

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,425
N/A
N/A
$7,378
Settled
No
kalshi

Hannes Steinbach

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,824
N/A
N/A
$6,553
Settled
No
kalshi

Karim Lopez

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,971
N/A
N/A
$5,824
Settled
No
kalshi

Isaiah Evans

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,069
N/A
N/A
$4,069
Settled
No
kalshi

Nate Ament

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,511
N/A
N/A
$3,435
Settled
No
kalshi

Meleek Thomas

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,360
N/A
N/A
$2,320
Settled
No
kalshi

Koa Peat

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,075
N/A
N/A
$1,955
Settled
No
kalshi

Yaxel Lendeborg

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,602
N/A
N/A
$1,399
Settled
No
kalshi

Amari Allen

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,299
N/A
N/A
$1,299
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Cenac Jr.

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$993
N/A
N/A
$993
Settled
No
kalshi

Baba Miller

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$932
N/A
N/A
$932
Settled
No
kalshi

Morez Johnson Jr.

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$926
N/A
N/A
$876
Settled
No
kalshi

Darius Acuff Jr.

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$774
N/A
N/A
$774
Settled
No
kalshi

Aday Mara

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$719
N/A
N/A
$637
Settled
No
kalshi

Bennett Stirtz

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$702
N/A
N/A
$702
Settled
No
kalshi

Joshua Jefferson

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$490
N/A
N/A
$490
Settled
No
kalshi

Brayden Burries

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$398
N/A
N/A
$398
Settled
No
kalshi

Allen Graves

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$388
N/A
N/A
$388
Settled
No
kalshi

Zuby Ejiofor

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$149
N/A
N/A
$149
Settled
No
kalshi

AJ Dybantsa

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
No
kalshi

Keaton Wagler

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$52
N/A
N/A
$52
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 50

Intro

This market tracks which college basketball player will be selected with the 15th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft. On Kalshi, Bennett Stirtz holds the leading probability at 16.0%, followed by Cameron Carr at 13.0%. The market will resolve based on the official selection announced during the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft. Watch the draft order finalization and team needs assessments leading up to the June 25, 2026 draft date to gauge how front offices may prioritize this slot.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if any of the listed players is selected as the 15th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft. Each player outcome is mutually exclusive, as only one player can occupy the 15th position. Resolution is determined by the official draft selection announced during the 2026 NBA Draft event.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-time trader consensus on the 15th overall pick, while traditional sportsbooks offer fixed or semi-dynamic betting lines on the same outcome. Prediction markets typically update continuously as new information emerges, whereas sportsbooks adjust lines less frequently and incorporate their own margin. The Kalshi market for this event shows trader conviction through active participation, offering a decentralized alternative to sportsbook pricing. Both venues serve different audiences: prediction markets attract information-driven traders, while sportsbooks cater to casual bettors seeking convenience.

The Pro Basketball #15 Overall Pick market resolves on Jun 25, 2026, coinciding with the conclusion of the 15th overall selection in the professional basketball draft. Resolution is determined by the official draft announcement and the player name called for that slot. Once the pick is made public and confirmed, the market settles automatically based on whether the predicted outcome matches the actual selection. Traders should monitor official draft communications and league announcements as the event date approaches to stay informed on timing and any potential schedule changes.

Several catalysts could shift odds for the 15th overall pick before Jun 25, 2026. Player injury announcements or performance changes during pre-draft workouts may alter team interest. Trade rumors involving teams holding picks near 15th could reshape draft order expectations. Scouting reports, mock draft updates, and analyst consensus shifts influence trader positioning. Team front-office statements about draft priorities and positional needs provide directional clues. Late-stage player withdrawals or declarations also impact availability. Media coverage of draft prospects and real-time team evaluations drive continuous repricing as the draft approaches and uncertainty resolves.