TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
$
This market tracks which National League player will earn Player of the Month honors for May based on their performance throughout that month. On Kalshi, Jordan Walker holds the leading probability at 40.0%, while Kyle Schwarber follows at 28.0%. The market resolves according to the official National League Player of the Month award announcement. Watch for the final statistics and voting results as they are compiled through the end of May, with resolution expected by June 3, 2026.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader sentiment and differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they are set by supply and demand rather than oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically adjust lines to balance liability, while prediction markets aggregate distributed beliefs across many participants. For the National League Player of the Month race, the prediction market may price certain candidates differently than sportsbooks depending on which events traders weight most heavily—such as recent performance streaks, injury updates, or team momentum—making direct comparison useful for identifying value.
The Pro Baseball National League Player of the Month (May) market resolves on Jun 3, 2026. The outcome is determined by the official Major League Baseball announcement of which National League player receives the Player of the Month award for May. This award is typically announced shortly after the month concludes and is based on overall performance metrics, voting by media and fans, and league criteria. Once MLB announces the winner, the corresponding contract on Kalshi settles to $1 and all other player contracts settle to $0.
Several catalysts can shift odds for the National League Player of the Month. Strong individual performances—home runs, batting average, RBIs, and pitching statistics—directly influence the race. Injuries to top contenders can dramatically alter probabilities. Team success and playoff positioning may boost a player's candidacy if voters reward contribution to winning. Recent hot streaks or slumps can swing momentum quickly. Media narratives and expert commentary shape trader perception. Late-month surges by unexpected candidates can create volatility. Each game result and statistical update through May provides new information that traders incorporate into their pricing decisions.