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Pro Baseball National League Pitcher of the Month (July)
kalshi

Who will win the National League Pitcher of the Month for July?

Volume:
$21,876

Chris Sale

 - Kalshi

Chris Sale - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 3, 2026

Closed: Aug 3, 5:51 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chris Sale

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,060
N/A
N/A
$8,054
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jacob Misiorowski

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,807
N/A
N/A
$6,134
Settled
No
kalshi

Shota Imanaga

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,554
N/A
N/A
$995
Settled
No
kalshi

Sandy Alcantara

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$777
N/A
N/A
$576
Settled
No
kalshi

Paul Skenes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
No
kalshi

Shohei Ohtani

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
No
kalshi

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$78
N/A
N/A
$78
Settled
No
kalshi

Robbie Ray

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
$60
Settled
No
kalshi

Aaron Nola

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
$54
Settled
No
kalshi

Freddy Peralta

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
kalshi

Jhoan Duran

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
kalshi

Mitch Keller

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
kalshi

Eduardo Rodriguez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyler Glasnow

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
kalshi

Zac Gallen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
kalshi

Edward Cabrera

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Soroka

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
kalshi

Aaron Ashby

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
kalshi

Logan Webb

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
kalshi

Mason Miller

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Cristopher Sanchez

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Description

Major League Baseball recognizes the top-performing pitcher in the National League during July. The award honors exceptional pitching performance throughout the month based on statistics and overall contribution to their team's success.

Kalshi

Each pitcher listed receives recognition if designated as the National League Pitcher of the Month for July. In the event that multiple pitchers are awarded Pitcher of the Month honors simultaneously, the prize pool is divided equally among all recipients, with each receiving $1 divided by the total number of awardees and rounded down to the nearest dollar.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the NL Pitcher of the Month market dashboard displays real-time odds and price movements for which National League pitcher will earn the monthly award. The interface tracks current implied probabilities for each eligible pitcher, 24-hour trading volume, and historical price charts that reflect how trader sentiment has shifted as July progresses. This dashboard lets you monitor which arms are gaining or losing favor among market participants, providing a live snapshot of consensus expectations around one of baseball's key monthly honors.

Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market reflects what informed participants actually believe will happen, unfiltered by profit margins or liability concerns. Over time, prediction markets have proven competitive with or superior to sportsbook consensus on sports outcomes, especially when traders have strong information or analytical edges on monthly awards like this one.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each pitcher's chances of winning the award. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share's price directly reflects the implied probability—a pitcher trading at 0.65 carries a 65% chance in the market's view. As new information emerges, traders adjust their bids and offers, moving prices up or down. The continuous auction process ensures prices stay responsive to breaking news, injury reports, and performance trends throughout the month.

This market resolves around Aug 4, 2026, once Major League Baseball officially announces the National League Pitcher of the Month award for July. The outcome will be confirmed against credible public reporting from MLB and major sports news outlets. Traders holding shares in the winning pitcher receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless. The resolution is straightforward and objective, tied directly to the league's official monthly honor.

Several catalysts can shift prices in this market. Strong or weak pitching performances, earned run average trends, and win-loss records throughout July will influence trader positioning. Injuries to frontrunners can trigger sharp repricing, while breakout months from lesser-known arms may drive unexpected rallies. Trade deadline moves, bullpen usage patterns, and head-to-head matchups between contenders all matter. Media narratives and expert commentary also shape perception, so major publications highlighting a pitcher's dominance can accelerate buying interest and move odds meaningfully.