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Pro Baseball Home Run Derby Selections
kalshi

Pro Baseball Home Run Derby Selections

Volume:
$212,818

Munetaka Murakami

 - Kalshi

Munetaka Murakami - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 14, 2026

Closed: Jul 10, 10:41 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Munetaka Murakami

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$29,198
N/A
N/A
$19,112
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Junior Caminero

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,826
N/A
N/A
$9,990
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bryce Harper

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,541
N/A
N/A
$5,403
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ben Rice

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,240
N/A
N/A
$4,391
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jordan Walker

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,683
N/A
N/A
$2,873
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kyle Schwarber

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,795
N/A
N/A
$1,301
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yordan Alvarez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,250
N/A
N/A
$10,729
Settled
No
kalshi

James Wood

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,194
N/A
N/A
$13,083
Settled
No
kalshi

Hunter Goodman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,413
N/A
N/A
$12,363
Settled
No
kalshi

Aaron Judge

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,131
N/A
N/A
$11,361
Settled
No
kalshi

Byron Buxton

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,375
N/A
N/A
$6,034
Settled
No
kalshi

Shohei Ohtani

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,050
N/A
N/A
$7,163
Settled
No
kalshi

Oneil Cruz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,623
N/A
N/A
$4,522
Settled
No
kalshi

Andy Pages

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,850
N/A
N/A
$4,420
Settled
No
kalshi

Mike Trout

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,530
N/A
N/A
$2,663
Settled
No
kalshi

Pete Alonso

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,847
N/A
N/A
$2,213
Settled
No
kalshi

Matt Olson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,569
N/A
N/A
$2,451
Settled
No
kalshi

Shea Langeliers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,459
N/A
N/A
$2,475
Settled
No
kalshi

Ronald Acuña Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,974
N/A
N/A
$2,194
Settled
No
kalshi

Colson Montgomery

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,754
N/A
N/A
$1,719
Settled
No
kalshi

Bobby Witt Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,134
N/A
N/A
$1,558
Settled
No
kalshi

Max Muncy (LAD)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,530
N/A
N/A
$575
Settled
No
kalshi

Juan Soto

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,361
N/A
N/A
$868
Settled
No
kalshi

Christian Walker

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,079
N/A
N/A
$804
Settled
No
kalshi

Gunnar Henderson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,057
N/A
N/A
$620
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 33

Description

Whether at least one professional baseball player from a specified list participates in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby competition.

Kalshi

If Kyle Schwarber is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yordan Alvarez is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes. If Munetaka Murakami is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes. If Byron Buxton is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matt Olson is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aaron Judge is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ben Rice is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes. If Christian Walker is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes. If James Wood is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brandon Lowe is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes. If Miguel Vargas is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hunter Goodman is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jordan Walker is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes. If Colson Montgomery is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mike Trout is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bryce Harper is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes. If Max Muncy (LAD) is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oneil Cruz is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes. If Shea Langeliers is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dillon Dingler is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes. If Junior Caminero is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ian Happ is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes. If Juan Soto is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes. If Luke Raley is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes. If Julio Rodriguez is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes. If Andy Pages is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michael Harris is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gunnar Henderson is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes. If Drake Baldwin is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pete Alonso is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes. If Shohei Ohtani is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ronald Acuña Jr. is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bobby Witt Jr. is selected as a participant in the 2026 Pro Baseball Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines for Home Run Derby selections because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed betting spreads. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on historical data and sharp action, while prediction markets aggregate continuous belief updates from many participants. For Home Run Derby participant selections, prediction markets may react faster to breaking news like player withdrawals or late-season performance surges. Comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the crowd is pricing in information that bookmakers have not yet adjusted, offering traders potential value opportunities.

On Kalshi, Pro Baseball Home Run Derby Selections are priced as binary contracts tied to specific player participation outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract trades between 0 and 100 cents, where the price reflects the probability that a given player will be selected for the Derby. Traders buy contracts at lower prices if they believe selection is unlikely, and sell at higher prices if they expect inclusion. Kalshi's order book mechanism allows continuous price discovery as new information surfaces. Settlement occurs after official MLB announcements confirm the final Derby roster, with winning contracts paying 100 cents and losing contracts expiring at zero.

The Pro Baseball Home Run Derby Selections market resolves on Jul 14, 2026, following the official MLB announcement of the final Home Run Derby participant roster. Resolution is determined by whether each selected player's name appears on the official MLB roster for that year's Derby event. Markets for individual players settle to 100 cents if that player is confirmed as a Derby participant, or to zero cents if they are not selected. The resolution is binary and tied directly to the published MLB Home Run Derby field, with no discretion or interpretation required.

Several catalysts can shift odds for Pro Baseball Home Run Derby Selections before Jul 14, 2026. Player injuries or performance slumps may reduce selection odds for affected sluggers, while hot-hitting streaks can increase them. Official MLB hints or media reports about likely invitees will trigger sharp repricing. Late-season home run leaders and batting average surges influence market expectations about who deserves an invitation. Retirements or unexpected player trades alter the eligible pool. Coaching staff or league statements about selection criteria can move odds across multiple participants simultaneously. Trader activity and sentiment shifts also drive price changes as the Derby date approaches and the roster announcement becomes imminent.