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406,065

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Pro Baseball: 20+ Home Run Season
⌛Ending Soon
kalshi

Pro Baseball: 20+ Home Run Season

Volume:
$180,855

Miguel Vargas

 - Kalshi

Miguel Vargas - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 8, 7:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Miguel Vargas

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,146
N/A
N/A
$3,317
1d 17h 24m
Yes
kalshi

Alex Bregman

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,514
N/A
N/A
$3,448
1d 17h 24m
Yes
kalshi

Jackson Chourio

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,150
N/A
N/A
$2,283
1d 17h 24m
Yes
kalshi

Jac Caglianone

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,401
N/A
N/A
$4,292
1d 17h 24m
Yes
kalshi

Brice Turang

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,800
N/A
N/A
$4,747
1d 17h 24m
Yes
kalshi

Pete Crow-Armstrong

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,620
N/A
N/A
$3,532
1d 17h 24m
Yes
kalshi

Oneil Cruz

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,189
N/A
N/A
$2,536
1d 17h 24m
Yes
kalshi

Mookie Betts

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,006
N/A
N/A
$3,271
1d 17h 24m
Yes
kalshi

Randy Arozarena

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,334
N/A
N/A
$3,157
1d 17h 24m
Yes
kalshi

Yandy Díaz

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,105
N/A
N/A
$2,470
1d 17h 24m
Yes
kalshi

Jarren Duran

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,643
N/A
N/A
$1,547
1d 17h 24m
Yes
kalshi

CJ Abrams

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,542
N/A
N/A
$2,499
1d 17h 24m
Yes
kalshi

Ian Happ

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,280
N/A
N/A
$882
1d 17h 24m
Yes
kalshi

Willson Contreras

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,253
N/A
N/A
$1,640
1d 17h 24m
Yes
kalshi

Jackson Merrill

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,740
N/A
N/A
$1,360
1d 17h 24m
Yes
kalshi

James Wood

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,071
N/A
N/A
$933
1d 17h 24m
Yes
kalshi

Brandon Lowe

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,063
N/A
N/A
$920
1d 17h 24m
Yes
kalshi

Elly De La Cruz

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,723
N/A
N/A
$966
1d 17h 24m
Yes
kalshi

Mike Trout

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,153
N/A
N/A
$715
1d 17h 24m
Yes
kalshi

Spencer Steer

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,703
N/A
N/A
$6,172
1d 17h 24m
No
kalshi

Trent Grisham

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,397
N/A
N/A
$2,836
1d 17h 24m
No
kalshi

Roman Anthony

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,958
N/A
N/A
$2,644
1d 17h 24m
No
kalshi

Jose Altuve

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,308
N/A
N/A
$2,065
1d 17h 24m
No
kalshi

Tyler Soderstrom

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,042
N/A
N/A
$2,416
1d 17h 24m
No
kalshi

Ivan Herrera

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,026
N/A
N/A
$2,682
1d 17h 24m
No
Total markets: 25 of 45

Description

During the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, a player will hit 20 or more home runs across all games.

Kalshi

A player's market resolves to Yes if that player records 20 or more home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season. Each player has an independent market; resolution is based on official statistics from the regular season only.

Frequently asked questions

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own beliefs, leading to odds that can diverge from sportsbook lines as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. While sportsbooks may adjust their odds based on betting patterns, this market’s prices are directly driven by trader activity and perceived probabilities.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a player will hit 20+ home runs, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time assessment of probabilities based on the aggregated knowledge of all participants.

This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official statistics from the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season are verified against credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether a player officially records 20 or more home runs as determined by official league statistics. The market will then settle based on which outcomes align with those official results. The final determination will be based on publicly available data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.

Several factors could significantly influence trading activity in this market. Player injuries are a major catalyst, as an injury to a key power hitter would likely decrease the probability of them reaching 20 home runs. Similarly, changes in a player’s role or batting order could impact their opportunities to hit home runs. Pre-season performance and spring training statistics might also sway trader sentiment, as could any news regarding rule changes that could affect offensive output in baseball. Unexpected trades or roster moves could also cause shifts in the odds for this market.