TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Pro Baseball #1 Overall Pick
kalshi

Pro Baseball #1 Overall Pick

Volume:
$224,936

Roch Cholowsky

 - Kalshi

Roch Cholowsky - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 11, 2026

Closed: Jul 11, 1:41 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Roch Cholowsky

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$90,431
N/A
N/A
$51,723
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Vahn Lackey

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$68,504
N/A
N/A
$39,256
Settled
No
kalshi

Grady Emerson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$58,152
N/A
N/A
$36,459
Settled
No
kalshi

Jacob Lombard

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,643
N/A
N/A
$1,523
Settled
No
kalshi

Jackson Flora

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,608
N/A
N/A
$1,973
Settled
No
kalshi

Aiden Robbins

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,100
N/A
N/A
$1,061
Settled
No
kalshi

Drew Burress

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$789
N/A
N/A
$786
Settled
No
kalshi

Ace Reese

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$468
N/A
N/A
$468
Settled
No
kalshi

Justin Lebron

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$219
N/A
N/A
$213
Settled
No
kalshi

Caden Sorrell

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
$23
Settled
No
kalshi

Eric Booth Jr.

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sawyer Strosnider

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Gio Rojas

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

A.J. Gracia

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Hacopian

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Cameron Flukey

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Liam Peterson

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Derek Curiel

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryder Helfrick

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Carson Bolemon

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Hunter Dietz

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Eric Becker

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Logan Reddemann

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Cade Townsend

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Brody Bumila

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 30

Intro

This market tracks which prospect will be selected first overall in the 2026 Pro Baseball Draft. On Kalshi, Roch Cholowsky has a 71.0% probability of being chosen at the top spot, while Grady Emerson holds 17.0%. The market resolves according to the official selection made during the 2026 Pro Baseball Draft. Watch the draft proceedings on July 14, 2026, when the first overall pick will be announced and the market will settle.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by which eligible player is selected as the 1st overall pick in the 2026 Pro Baseball Draft. Each outcome corresponds to a specific player; if that player is selected at the 1st pick position, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Only one player can occupy the 1st pick, so only one outcome will resolve affirmatively.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker spreads. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets allow continuous trading and price discovery. For the Pro Baseball #1 Overall Pick, you may see prediction market probabilities shift faster in response to breaking news, prospect workouts, or team statements. Comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the crowd is pricing in information that oddsmakers have not yet fully reflected, offering potential value opportunities.

The Pro Baseball #1 Overall Pick market resolves on Jul 14, 2026, coinciding with the official announcement of the first overall selection at the professional baseball draft. The outcome is determined by which player is announced as the #1 pick by the team holding that slot. Once the selection is made and confirmed by league officials, the corresponding contract on Kalshi will settle to 100 for correct predictions and 0 for all others. Until that moment, prices reflect the collective forecast of traders monitoring draft news, team statements, and prospect evaluations.

Several catalysts can shift Pro Baseball #1 Overall Pick odds before Jul 14, 2026. Prospect performance at showcases, combine results, and medical evaluations directly influence draft positioning. Team statements, coaching changes, or strategic shifts by the organization holding the top pick can signal preference changes. Injury announcements or character concerns about leading candidates may trigger sharp repricing. Media reports, expert mock drafts, and analyst consensus updates also move the market as new information surfaces. Trading activity itself can create momentum, with large orders sometimes signaling informed positioning. Monitor team press conferences, prospect interviews, and draft analyst commentary for the most impactful signals.