TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Entertainment
PRIMA: First Week Pure Album Sales
kalshi

PRIMA: First Week Pure Album Sales

Volume:
$43,622

Above 20K

 - Kalshi

Above 20K - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 20K

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,711
N/A
N/A
$4,612
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 10K

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,921
N/A
N/A
$5,375
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 17K

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,771
N/A
N/A
$4,032
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 30K

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,317
N/A
N/A
$3,966
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 9K

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,476
N/A
N/A
$3,152
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 15K

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,470
N/A
N/A
$3,021
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 13K

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,631
N/A
N/A
$2,353
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 8K

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,115
N/A
N/A
$2,078
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4K

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,275
N/A
N/A
$1,204
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 7K

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,084
N/A
N/A
$1,064
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5K

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,021
N/A
N/A
$960
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3K

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$807
N/A
N/A
$732
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 6K

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$771
N/A
N/A
$755
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2K

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$589
N/A
N/A
$589
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1K

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$101
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 35K

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$562
N/A
N/A
$475
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 40K

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 45K

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 18

Description

The market assesses whether ADÉLA's album PRIMA will sell over varying thresholds of pure album sales in its first week in the U.S. Pure album sales refer to physical and digital sales of the album without any streaming or other equivalent units.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple thresholds for pure album sales of ADÉLA's album PRIMA during the U.S. tracking week from September 04 to September 10, 2026. Each market resolves to Yes if the specified threshold (ranging from 1K to 10K pure album sales) is exceeded. All markets will resolve on the Sunday immediately following the tracking week. Luminate Data, LLC provides the sales data but does not endorse or participate in the prediction markets.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the odds and price history for the first-week pure album sales market, along with 24-hour volume of $202. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different sales outcomes for the album’s opening week, giving you a real-time view of market sentiment and activity.

This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the album’s first-week pure sales figures are verified against credible public sources. The official numbers from recognized music industry trackers will determine which outcome is settled, bringing finality to trader positions based on actual market performance.

Key signals that could shift this market include early sales teasers, social media buzz around the album, any last-minute changes to release plans, and public statements from the artist or label. Major media coverage or unexpected distribution issues could also cause rapid price swings as traders reassess the likely sales outcome.