TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 25K
- Kalshi
Above 25K - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 13, 2026
Closed: Sep 13, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This market determines if ADÉLA's album PRIMA achieves various levels of album equivalent units in its first week in the U.S. Album equivalent units combine pure sales with streaming and track equivalent units to reflect overall popularity.
Kalshi
The event measures whether ADÉLA's album PRIMA reaches specific album equivalent unit thresholds (from 5K to 25K) during the U.S. tracking week of September 04 to September 10, 2026. Each market resolves to Yes if the corresponding threshold is surpassed. Resolution occurs on the Sunday after the tracking week, with Luminate Data, LLC supplying the data without endorsing or influencing the markets.
Frequently asked questions
Analyst forecasts for the PRIMA album sales market often differ from prediction market odds. Experts may predict a strong debut based on pre-release buzz and artist popularity, while traders on Kalshi incorporate real-time sentiment and speculative dynamics. The gap between these views can widen if new information emerges, such as unexpected media coverage or fan engagement metrics. Comparing both sources helps gauge market confidence versus expert opinion, revealing where public speculation diverges from established industry projections.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect official sales data for the specified period, closing the market based on independently confirmed figures rather than trader predictions or internal assessments.
Several signals could shift this market before Sep 13, 2026. Major music industry announcements, such as collaborations, controversial remarks, or changes to release plans, often impact trader sentiment. Streaming numbers ahead of the official launch may also drive volatility. Media coverage—positive or negative—can reshape expectations, as can competitive releases from other artists during the same period. All these factors feed into real-time trading activity on Kalshi as the market approaches its resolution date.
