TOTAL VOLUME:

$101.9b

24H VOL:

$119,575,967

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,024,173,950

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,176,087,693

185,125

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18,843

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MATCHED EVENTS:

1,297

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

44%

VS.

Kalshi:

56%

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Price of Dozen Eggs in January
Economics
polymarket
kalshi

Price of Dozen Eggs in January

Volume:
$125,959
PredictionHero
above 0% 0%
kalshi
$2.50–2.75 100%
polymarket
$2.75–3.00 0%
polymarket
Feb 2026Feb 2026Feb 2026Jul 2…020406080

Closed: Feb 11, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Description

This event group tracks the price of a dozen Grade A large eggs in the U.S. during January 2026, as measured by the St. Louis Fed's FRED database (sourced from BLS CPI data). Polymarket offers bracket-based resolution across nine price ranges, while Kalshi offers a binary yes/no on whether prices rise above the prior month.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi measure fundamentally different settlement values: Polymarket resolves to an absolute price bracket from St. Louis Fed data, while Kalshi resolves to a binary month-over-month price change direction.Hero tip: Understand that Polymarket and Kalshi are not equivalent markets. Polymarket is a price-level prediction; Kalshi is a price-direction prediction. You cannot use one to hedge the other. Check December 2025 egg prices before trading Kalshi to understand the baseline for the 0% threshold.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the price bracket containing the official St. Louis Fed FRED series APU0000708111 value for January 2026, published February 11, 2026, measured to three decimal places. Nine mutually exclusive bracket outcomes ranging from <$2.50 to >$4.00. If the price falls exactly on a bracket boundary, resolves to the higher bracket.
  • Kalshi: Binary yes/no resolution: YES if the price of eggs rises by above 0% in January 2026 (compared to prior month), NO otherwise. This is a relative change metric, not an absolute price level.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.22.3PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.