TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Price of Creed Aventus in August 2026?
kalshi

Price of Creed Aventus in August 2026?

Volume:
$5,725

Above $300.00

 - Kalshi

Above $300.00 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 10:48 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $300.00

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,638
N/A
N/A
$1,946
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $310.00

View
0%
79%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,423
N/A
N/A
$2,300
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $330.00

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$332
N/A
N/A
$232
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $320.00

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$284
N/A
N/A
$184
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $360.00

View
0%
77%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
$22
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $340.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $350.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the retail pricing of a luxury perfume during a specific month. It focuses on whether the observed price on a major online retailer exceeds various thresholds, reflecting potential shifts in market demand, promotional strategies, or supply dynamics for the product.

Kalshi

The event determines if the market price of Creed Aventus (3.3 oz) on Jomashop exceeds specified thresholds during August 2026. For each threshold, the market resolves to Yes if the displayed price—accounting for any discounts, promotions, or sales—is above the defined level. Prices are evaluated in USD, rounded to two decimal places, and exclude duties, taxes, and additional fees. If Jomashop lacks data for the period, the most recent known price is used; if no historical data exists, all markets resolve to No. Resolution is final and unaffected by rule revisions post-publication, with outcomes verified directly from Jomashop.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Creed Aventus price market dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $551. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around the future cost of this luxury fragrance, with charts illustrating recent trends and overall volume of $5,725. This single-venue view updates continuously to reflect market sentiment as the expiration date approaches.

This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch official announcements, retail data, and market analyses to gauge the final price point, which must align with widely accepted sources for settlement. The exact determination hinges on publicly observable evidence rather than internal or proprietary metrics.

Several signals could shift this market before Sep 1, 2026. Major brand announcements, economic changes affecting luxury spending, competitor pricing moves, or viral social media trends may all influence trader sentiment. Additionally, quarterly sales reports from retailers or shifts in currency exchange rates could impact expectations, causing rapid adjustments in odds as new data emerges and reshapes the collective outlook on Kalshi.