TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the Preston North End FC vs. Watford FC EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for February 14, 2026. The markets track whether Watford wins, Preston wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only, excluding extra time or penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation; Polymarket applies asymmetric resolution rules where the draw market resolves Yes on cancellation, but Preston and Watford win markets resolve No.Hero Tip:
Monitor for any match postponement or cancellation announcements. If the match is canceled with no rescheduled date, Polymarket's draw market will resolve Yes while the win markets resolve No, creating a logical inconsistency. Kalshi's lack of explicit cancellation guidance introduces settlement ambiguity. Request clarification from both platforms on their cancellation protocol before February 14, 2026.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Kalshi presents three mutually exclusive outcomes (Preston win, Watford win, draw) that each resolve to Yes if their condition is met. No explicit cancellation clause is provided. The rule structure implies all three outcomes are exhaustive, but does not address what happens if the match is canceled or postponed indefinitely.Polymarket:
Polymarket provides outcome-specific cancellation logic: Watford win resolves No on cancellation; Preston win resolves No on cancellation; draw resolves Yes on cancellation with no make-up game. This creates a logical violation of mutual exclusivity if the match is canceled, as the draw market would resolve Yes while the other two resolve No simultaneously.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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