TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks individual performance in an international team golf competition, focusing on which player accumulates the most points for their team throughout the event. The outcome depends solely on the final point standings among participating golfers.
The market resolves based on whether the specified golfer finishes as the individual points leader for Team International at the 2026 Presidents Cup. If the designated player achieves the highest point total, the market settles as Yes. In cases where multiple players are tied for the top position, Yes positions receive a prorated payout of $1 divided by the number of tied participants (rounded down to the nearest cent), while No positions receive the complementary amount (1 minus the Yes payout). Each market applies these rules specifically to its named golfer, with identical payout mechanics across all participant-specific markets.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than many pre-tournament analyst forecasts. While analysts often favor established stars, this market incorporates real-time sentiment and allows traders to weigh factors like recent form and potential matchups. It’s common to see discrepancies between expert opinions and the collective wisdom of the crowd, as reflected in the prices on Kalshi. This difference can be valuable for identifying potential value bets and understanding how public perception might influence outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in each player’s likelihood of leading their team in points. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a player will perform well, demand for that player’s contract increases, driving up the price. Conversely, decreasing demand lowers the price.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final standings of the Presidents Cup are verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official points leader for Team International as determined by the tournament organizers. The market will settle to 100 for the player who accumulates the most points for their team, and 0 for all other players. Traders should monitor official tournament results to understand the final outcome and settlement of this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in form during practice rounds, or even weather forecasts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected pairings in the matches could also influence expectations, as some players perform better against certain opponents. Major upsets in early rounds of the tournament would likely cause substantial price movements, as traders adjust their assessments of each player's chances of leading their team in points. Monitoring these events will be crucial for informed trading.