TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 4:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming Premiership Rugby match between Sale Sharks and Bristol Bears, scheduled for September 26 2026.
This event is for the upcoming Premiership Rugby match between Sale Sharks and Bristol Bears, scheduled for September 26 2026.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders on Polymarket, aims to reflect the true probabilities as perceived by the crowd. Therefore, you might observe differences in implied probabilities between this market and sportsbook offerings, potentially revealing where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers. It's valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the latest information and collective wisdom of the participants. The current price indicates what the crowd believes is the likelihood of a particular result in the Sale Sharks vs Bristol Bears match.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Premiership Rugby match between the Sale Sharks and Bristol Bears, as reported by official league sources. The market will determine which team won the match, or if the match ended in a draw, based on this official data. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Sale Sharks or Bristol Bears would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match location or time changes could also play a role. Essentially, any information that alters perceptions of each team's chances of winning will likely be reflected in the market price.