TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 37
- Kalshi
Above 37 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 14, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Sep 14, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks the likelihood of “Practical Magic 2” achieving a Tomatometer score of at least 35 on Rotten Tomatoes. Currently, the aggregated probability across Kalshi and Polymarket indicates a 99.8% chance of this outcome. This prediction market resolves based on the Rotten Tomatoes “All Critics” score as displayed on September 14, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Keep an eye on the film’s official release date and initial critical reception as indicators of whether it will meet this threshold by the resolution date.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Kalshi markets use 'above' (strictly greater than) while Polymarket uses 'at least' (greater than or equal to) for the Rotten Tomatoes score threshold.Hero tip: Pay close attention to the specific threshold in each market. A score of exactly 45 on Kalshi would resolve to 'No', while a score of 40 on Polymarket would resolve to 'Yes'.Critical divergence points:
- Polymarket: Resolves 'Yes' if the Tomatometer score is *at least* the specified threshold (40, 50, 60, 70). Question format: "Will 'Practical Magic 2' score at least X%?"
- Kalshi: Resolves 'Yes' if the Tomatometer score is *above* the specified threshold (45, 50, 55, 60, 65, 70, 75, 80, 85, 90). Implies a strictly greater than condition.
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes "All Critics" Tomatometer score for Practical Magic 2 is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on September 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to "No" if no data is available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Kalshi
The markets resolve based on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score for 'Practical Magic 2' as measured on September 14, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Each market has a specific threshold; if the film's score exceeds the respective threshold, that market resolves to Yes, otherwise it resolves to No. For example, a score of 78 would resolve as Yes for thresholds of 75 and below, but as No for thresholds of 80 and above. All markets are determined on the Monday following the film's wide release. It is important to note that Rotten Tomatoes has not endorsed these markets, and any references to their brand are purely descriptive and do not imply affiliation or endorsement.
Frequently asked questions
Several signals could significantly move this market. Early reviews from film critics, particularly those published before the official release date, will likely have a substantial impact. Positive buzz from test screenings or premieres could also drive up the predicted score, while negative feedback could lower it. Major marketing campaigns or changes in the film’s release schedule could also influence trader sentiment. Any news regarding the cast, director, or production quality could also move this market as traders adjust their expectations for the film’s critical reception.