TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 5:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the pickleball match between Adam Harvey and Luc Pham in Veolia Pickleball National Championships, scheduled for September 2 at 10:55AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Harvey' if Adam Harvey wins against Luc Pham. This market will resolve to 'Pham' if Luc Pham wins against Adam Harvey. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one side advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the side that advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a side withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official results published by the Professional Pickleball Association (https://ppatour.com/).
This market refers to the pickleball match between Adam Harvey and Luc Pham in Veolia Pickleball National Championships, scheduled for September 2 at 10:55AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Harvey' if Adam Harvey wins against Luc Pham. This market will resolve to 'Pham' if Luc Pham wins against Adam Harvey. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one side advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the side that advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a side withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official results published by the Professional Pickleball Association (https://ppatour.com/).
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or adjust lines to encourage balanced betting, while this market represents the collective belief of informed traders. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing information access, risk appetite, or simply short-term fluctuations. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks in response to new information, as they are continuously updated by traders reacting to developments. Examining both can provide a well-rounded perspective.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe Adam Harvey will win, the price of shares representing his victory will increase, and vice versa for Luc Pham. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the match's likely result, based on available information and trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Men's Singles match between Adam Harvey and Luc Pham as declared by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their stake. The final result will be publicly available on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or personal issues affecting either player could also have an impact. Furthermore, early match results from the tournament, or even analysis from tennis experts, might cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Major upsets in other matches within the tournament could also indirectly influence this market by affecting overall confidence in pre-tournament predictions.