TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Grenier and Akira Santillan in the Pozoblanco, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Grenier' if Hugo Grenier advances against Akira Santillan. This market will resolve to 'Akira Santillan' if Akira Santillan advances against Hugo Grenier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Grenier and Akira Santillan in the Pozoblanco, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Grenier' if Hugo Grenier advances against Akira Santillan. This market will resolve to 'Akira Santillan' if Akira Santillan advances against Hugo Grenier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate the collective belief of traders risking real capital. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, particularly as new information emerges or as the event date approaches. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs most.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders purchase shares representing each outcome, and the price of those shares reflects the collective assessment of the fight's likely result. As more capital flows into one side, the price adjusts accordingly, ensuring the market continuously reflects updated expectations about the bout.
This market resolves around Jul 22, 2026, once the boxing match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official fight result—whether that is a decision, knockout, or other conclusion recognized by the event organizers and major sports reporting outlets. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new developments and pre-fight information emerge.
Several factors could shift this market significantly before Jul 22, 2026. Fighter news—such as injuries, training updates, or changes in camp—often triggers sharp price moves. Weigh-in results, official fighter statements, and expert analysis or predictions can also sway trader sentiment. Additionally, betting action on traditional sportsbooks and social media discussion may influence prediction market participants. Any credible report about either fighter's condition or readiness could prompt rapid repricing of the outcome.