TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Target Streams: 145,111,817
- Kalshi
Target Streams: 145,111,817 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 20, 2026
Closed: Jul 18, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This market tracks Post Malone's global streaming performance during the week of July 10-16, 2026. Participants predict whether the artist will exceed a specific streaming threshold based on data from Luminate, a neutral metrics provider.
Kalshi
If Post Malone has above 145,111,817 Worldwide Streams during the July 10 - July 16, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds differ from traditional analyst forecasts because they aggregate real-money bets from many participants rather than relying on expert opinion alone. In this market, traders continuously update prices based on breaking news, social media signals, and past streaming patterns, creating a dynamic probability estimate. While analysts might issue periodic reports on entertainment trends, this market reflects live consensus from people with financial skin in the game, often capturing shifts faster than traditional forecasting methods.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers in real time. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see represents the marginal probability that Post Malone will stream this week, expressed as a decimal between 0 and 1. As new information surfaces—concert announcements, social media activity, or platform updates—traders adjust their positions, and the market price moves to reflect the updated collective forecast.
This market resolves around Jul 20, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed against credible public sources to determine whether Post Malone streamed during the specified week. The resolution hinges on verifiable evidence from the artist's official streaming accounts or announcements. Once the event window closes and the facts are established, the market settles and traders receive payouts based on the final outcome.
Several catalysts could shift odds in this market before it resolves. Official announcements from Post Malone about upcoming streams, tour dates, or album releases would likely trigger sharp price moves. Social media hints, platform partnerships, or surprise performances could also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, broader entertainment news—competing events, platform algorithm changes, or artist schedule updates—may prompt reassessment. Each piece of new information gives traders a reason to adjust their positions, creating natural volatility.
