TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
What will Post Malone’s highest daily view count be?
Above 7M
- Kalshi
Above 7M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 29, 2026
Closed: Sep 26, 7:19 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the potential for Post Malone to attract substantial global viewership on YouTube over a one-week period. It focuses on whether his content can achieve various high view count thresholds within a specific timeframe, reflecting audience engagement and content popularity.
Kalshi
The event evaluates multiple thresholds of global daily YouTube views for Post Malone during the week of September 21–27, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific view count benchmark (ranging from above 5 million to above 8 million). For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' Post Malone must surpass its respective threshold at least once during the specified week. All markets use YouTube Charts data filtered for 'Global' views and accessed via a New York IP address to ensure consistency. These markets are independent — meeting one threshold does not automatically satisfy higher thresholds, and each must be evaluated separately against its unique criterion. The rules explicitly note that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and references to YouTube are purely descriptive.
Frequently asked questions
It’s common to see differences between prediction market probabilities and those offered by traditional analysts or polls. Analysts often rely on subjective assessments and historical data, while this market reflects the collective judgment of a diverse group of traders. If polls or expert opinions suggest a particular outcome is more likely, but the market odds indicate otherwise, it could signal an opportunity for informed traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply varying interpretations of available data.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are influenced by news, social media trends, and overall market sentiment surrounding Post Malone’s popularity and potential viewership during the specified period. The current market reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the highest daily view count achieved by Post Malone across all major video platforms during the period of September 21, 2026, to September 27, 2026. The specific data source used to determine the view count will be publicly available at the time of resolution, ensuring transparency and fairness for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly influence the trading activity in this market. Major announcements regarding Post Malone’s new music releases, upcoming performances, or media appearances could all impact viewership expectations. Unexpected viral trends or controversies involving the artist could also create volatility. Shifts in the broader entertainment landscape, such as changes in streaming platform popularity or viewing habits, might also play a role. Positive or negative press coverage, social media engagement, and even competitor activity could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.
