TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 02d:13h:22m
Will Post Malone have above 6M daily views at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026?
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Description
This event tracks the performance of Post Malone's YouTube views over a specific week, resolving based on whether his daily view count surpasses various thresholds. It reflects audience engagement through real-time metrics, offering insight into his popularity and content reach during that period.
Kalshi
The event evaluates whether Post Malone achieves specific global daily YouTube view thresholds between October 26 and November 1, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold, ranging from above 5 million to above 8 million views. All markets use data accessed via YouTube Charts, selecting “Global” as the location and viewing counts from a New York IP address to ensure consistency. The markets are independent; resolution for each depends solely on whether the respective threshold is met at any point during the specified period. Importantly, YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement by YouTube.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market reflects a broader range of factors than traditional analysis, incorporating real-time information and diverse perspectives. While analysts may focus on historical trends and announced plans, the market aggregates insights from numerous participants, potentially identifying unforeseen influences on Post Malone’s viewership. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas where the market anticipates surprises or where analysts may be underestimating certain variables.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The market’s depth – the volume of contracts available at various price points – indicates the level of confidence traders have in each outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the highest daily view count achieved by Post Malone’s content during the period of October 26, 2026, to November 1, 2026. The specific source used to verify this data will be determined by Kalshi’s resolution process, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome. The market will then settle based on which outcome aligns with the verified view count data.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any announcements regarding Post Malone’s new music releases, promotional appearances, or major media features would likely impact viewership. Unexpected viral trends or controversies surrounding the artist could also drive substantial changes in the market. Furthermore, shifts in the broader entertainment landscape, such as the popularity of competing artists or changes in streaming platform algorithms, could influence the perceived likelihood of different view count outcomes. Positive or negative critical reception of new work could also be a catalyst.
