TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the performance of Post Malone's YouTube views over a specific week, determining whether his daily view count surpasses various thresholds. It reflects audience engagement and content popularity during a defined period, using a standardized measurement approach.
Kalshi
All markets under this event assess whether Post Malone achieves specific global daily YouTube view count thresholds between October 19, 2026, and October 25, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold, ranging from above 5 million to above 8 million views. Resolution for all markets depends on the highest daily view count observed during the specified week. View counts will be verified using YouTube Charts with "Global" selected as the location and accessed through a New York IP address to ensure consistency. It is explicitly stated that YouTube has not endorsed these markets or products, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no affiliation or endorsement between YouTube and the event organizer. The structure allows multiple markets to resolve simultaneously based on the same underlying data point—the peak daily view count for Post Malone during the week—making the outcomes interdependent.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market reflects a broader range of perspectives than traditional forecasts, potentially incorporating information not readily available to analysts. If analysts predict a specific daily view count range for Post Malone, it's insightful to see whether traders in this market agree or disagree, and to what degree. Discrepancies can highlight overlooked factors or differing interpretations of available data.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices will adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the potential highest daily view count for Post Malone during the specified period. The current market activity indicates how traders perceive the likelihood of various view count scenarios.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The highest daily view count for Post Malone between October 19, 2026, and October 25, 2026, as reported by a widely recognized and reliable source for viewership data, will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on publicly available data, ensuring transparency and objectivity in determining the result of this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any news regarding Post Malone's promotional activities, such as new music releases, major media appearances, or significant social media engagement, could impact predicted viewership. Unexpected events affecting overall media consumption patterns, like major news stories or competing entertainment releases, could also play a role. Furthermore, changes in platform algorithms or viewership tracking methodologies could influence the reported view counts, leading to shifts in the market.
