TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Portugal vs Wales: Spread
kalshi

Portugal vs Wales: Spread

Volume:
$368,392

Portugal wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Portugal wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 24, 2026

Closed: Sep 24, 4:44 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Portugal wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$301,110
N/A
N/A
$142,702
Settled
No
kalshi

Portugal wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$58,208
N/A
N/A
$30,719
Settled
No
kalshi

Wales wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,331
N/A
N/A
$4,331
Settled
No
kalshi

Portugal wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,557
N/A
N/A
$2,248
Settled
No
kalshi

Wales wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$600
N/A
N/A
$600
Settled
No
kalshi

Portugal wins by more than 4.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$587
N/A
N/A
$587
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Portugal and Wales, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the goal differential by which either Portugal or Wales wins the match. Four distinct outcomes are evaluated: Portugal winning by more than 2.5 goals, Portugal winning by more than 1.5 goals, Wales winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Wales winning by more than 2.5 goals. The match in question is the Portugal vs Wales professional UEFA Nations League game scheduled for September 24, 2026, and the resolution occurs after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with extra time and penalty outcomes excluded from consideration. The event is unaffiliated with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.