TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 24, 6:41 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Portugal and Wales, scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Portugal vs. Wales match originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Portugal and Wales, scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Portugal vs. Wales match originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If there is a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced a particular outcome. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms and may appeal to different types of bettors.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the Portugal vs. Wales match will be used to determine the winning prediction. Any potential delays in reporting the official score could slightly postpone the resolution time, but the focus is on establishing the accurate result as quickly as possible. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed score to understand when this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Sep 24, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Portugal or Wales would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced by the managers could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts and any significant public opinion shifts could contribute to price movements within this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the probabilities evolve.