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Portugal vs. Wales
kalshi
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Portugal vs. Wales?

Volume:
$2,972,824

Portugal

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 24, 2026

Closed: Sep 24, 4:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Portugal

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$605,291
N/A
N/A
$368,925
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Portugal

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$434,937
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

PRT

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$14,863
$337,330
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

WAL

View
1%
5%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$171
$252,090
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Wales

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$567,471
N/A
N/A
$498,454
Settled
No
polymarket

Wales

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$473,364
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
1%
13%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$161
$15,917
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$228,253
N/A
N/A
$175,986
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Portugal vs. Wales)

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58,171
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks whether Portugal will win their UEFA Nations League soccer match against Wales on September 24, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Portugal winning is 100.0%, as aggregated from Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (UEFA). Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on September 24, 2026, to see if this consensus holds as the game unfolds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms define resolution based on the same timeframe (90 minutes + stoppage time) and have consistent fallback procedures for data availability and game cancellation/postponement.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (UEFA).

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to 'Yes' if Portugal wins within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • The market resolves to 'Yes' if Wales wins within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • The market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends in a draw within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Delay: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official statistics are available, or within 24 hours of the event's conclusion if fallback sources are required.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Thursday, September 24, 2026 between Portugal and Wales.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Portugal vs Wales UEFA Nations League match scheduled for September 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for Portugal or Wales occurs only if that team secures a victory within regular time; a tied score resolves the 'Tie' market as 'Yes.' If the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price. The markets exclusively consider regulation time results, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or its trademarks.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Thursday, September 24, 2026 between Portugal and Wales.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Portugal vs. Wales match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $2,972,824, with $2,568,256 traded in the last 24 hours. This indicates significant interest in predicting the result of this contest. The current consensus view, based on trading activity, suggests a strong likelihood of one outcome, though opinions differ between venues. This market provides a unique way to follow the wisdom of the crowd as it evolves leading up to the event.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks both aim to forecast the probability of an event, but they differ in how they arrive at those odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market reflects the collective beliefs of individual traders. As a result, prediction markets often provide more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of expertise, information access, and incentives among participants in each venue. Comparing these odds can reveal valuable insights into public perception and potential value bets.