TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 3:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the assist performance of selected Portuguese and Uzbek players during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup match on June 23, 2026. Different markets measure whether each player reaches various assist thresholds (1 or more or 2 or more assists) throughout the full match including regulation, stoppage, and extra time.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified player records at least the stated threshold of assists during the entire Portugal vs Uzbekistan professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for June 23, 2026, including regulation, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. Players are tracked across multiple assist thresholds (1+ and 2+ assists depending on the specific market). Settlement depends on player participation: if a player is listed as active but never enters the game, the market settles to the last fair market price before game start. Once a player enters the game, the market settles based on the player's actual assists recorded during play.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money conviction. Traders here compete to forecast the actual outcome, creating prices that can lead or lag traditional sportsbook lines depending on information flow and market depth. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money is positioning ahead of kickoff.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing the assists outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability estimate, ranging from near-zero to near-certain as traders submit bids and asks. Higher trading volume typically narrows the spread and increases price stability, while lower liquidity can widen the gap between buy and sell prices. Real-money incentives ensure traders price the market as accurately as possible.
This market resolves around Jun 23, 2026, once the Portugal vs Uzbekistan match concludes and the final assists tally is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the actual number of assists recorded during the match, confirmed through official match reports and sports data providers. Traders holding shares aligned with the final result receive their payout, while those on the wrong side of the outcome lose their stake. Resolution is automatic once the data is confirmed and locked in.
Team lineup announcements, injury updates, and tactical shifts can significantly move this market as traders reassess playmaking potential. Pre-match press conferences and coach statements about offensive strategy may shift odds if they hint at a more attacking or defensive approach. Live match momentum—early goals, red cards, or substitutions—will drive sharp repricing as the game unfolds and the assists outcome becomes clearer. Weather conditions and venue factors can also influence passing accuracy and assist opportunities, prompting real-time adjustments from active traders.