TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 2, 7:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group tracks 42 markets covering the Portugal vs. Croatia FIFA World Cup match, including outcomes on extra time, both teams scoring, goal totals, spreads, and half-time/full-time results. Across Polymarket and Predict, the consensus probability for the match going to extra time stands at 10.0%, while both teams scoring is priced at 100.0%. All markets resolve according to official FIFA.com final match statistics and FIFA World Cup governing body records. Watch for the match kickoff on July 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, which will determine settlement across all related markets.
More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 2 at 7:00 PM ET.
More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 2 at 7:00 PM ET.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts distinct trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures that influence pricing. Polymarket emphasizes total-goals contracts, drawing traders focused on over/under betting, while Predict features spread mechanics that appeal to bettors comfortable with point-differential thinking. Order-book depth, trading volume, and the timing of major news also create temporary price gaps. These differences typically narrow as arbitrageurs exploit spreads, but they persist long enough to reward attentive traders.
Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—typically triggers sharp price moves in this market. International match momentum, recent form, and head-to-head history also influence trader positioning. Weather conditions on match day and late-breaking betting syndicates can accelerate volatility. Additionally, if either team secures qualification or elimination in their tournament group before kickoff, sentiment may shift sharply. Monitor official team announcements and credible sports media for catalysts that reshape win probability and goal-scoring expectations.