TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 10:21 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the volleyball match between Portugal and Bulgaria in the European Championship, originally scheduled for September 11 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Portugal" if Portugal wins the match. It will resolve to "Bulgaria" if Bulgaria wins the match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, is defaulted, or is disqualified after the match begins, this market will resolve in favor of the team officially credited with the win. If the match begins but is not completed and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin for any reason — including cancellation, pre-match withdrawal, walkover, or forfeit before play begins — or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official CEV results.
This market refers to the volleyball match between Portugal and Bulgaria in the European Championship, originally scheduled for September 11 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Portugal" if Portugal wins the match. It will resolve to "Bulgaria" if Bulgaria wins the match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, is defaulted, or is disqualified after the match begins, this market will resolve in favor of the team officially credited with the win. If the match begins but is not completed and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin for any reason — including cancellation, pre-match withdrawal, walkover, or forfeit before play begins — or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official CEV results.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin for the house. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply varying opinions on the likely outcome of the Portugal vs. Bulgaria match. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Portugal vs. Bulgaria match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. Higher demand for shares in a specific outcome drives up its price, indicating increased confidence from the crowd.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Portugal vs. Bulgaria match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will then determine the winning shares based on the final score and declare the outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. The resolution process ensures transparency and accuracy.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Sep 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching staff for either Portugal or Bulgaria would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also play a role. Furthermore, general news and analysis surrounding the teams’ recent performance and strategic approaches could impact trader sentiment. Significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can also create momentum and move the market.