TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 10, 7:00 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Portugal and Nigeria (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for June 10, 2026, 19:45 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 10, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, this outcome is priced through continuous order-book matching, where traders buy and sell shares representing YES (4+ cards) or NO (fewer than 4 cards) outcomes. The current market price reflects the collective assessment of card accumulation risk, factoring in team playing styles, historical disciplinary records, and referee tendencies. As match conditions evolve—injuries, tactical adjustments, or early cautions—the price adjusts dynamically to reflect new information and trader positioning.
The market resolves on Jun 11, 2026, following the conclusion of the Portugal vs. Nigeria match. Resolution is determined by the official final count of yellow and red cards issued to both teams combined during regular and extra time. The outcome settles YES if the total reaches 4 or more cards, and NO if fewer than 4 cards are awarded. Official match records from the governing football body serve as the authoritative source for card tallies.
Key catalysts include team lineups and injury status, which affect playing intensity and defensive aggression. Referee assignment announcements can shift odds significantly, as different officials have varying disciplinary thresholds. Recent form and head-to-head history reveal disciplinary patterns. Pre-match tactical previews and coaching statements about physicality influence trader expectations. Early match events—such as a red card in the opening minutes or a particularly physical opening half—will trigger sharp repricing. Weather conditions and pitch quality may also affect play style and card frequency.