TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 17, 4:13 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Portugal and Congo DR (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 17, 2026, 17:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 17, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Portugal and Congo DR (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 17, 2026, 17:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 17, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, this outcome is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability that the match will produce four or more combined cards. The price moves based on order-book depth and trader positions, with each contract representing a yes or no position. Traders can enter and exit at any time before Jun 18, 2026, and the final settlement price converges to 100 or 0 depending on the official card count. Liquidity and spreads on card-count markets can vary depending on match prominence and trader interest.
The market resolves on Jun 18, 2026, which corresponds to the end of the Portugal vs. Congo DR match. Resolution is determined by the official final count of yellow and red cards issued to both teams combined. If four or more cards are shown by the referee, the yes outcome resolves to 100; if fewer than four cards are issued, the no outcome resolves to 100. The outcome is based solely on cards recorded in the official match record.
Key catalysts include team lineups and injury status, which affect playing style and aggression levels. Referee assignment can significantly influence card expectations, as different officials have varying disciplinary thresholds. Pre-match news about suspensions, tactical adjustments, or rivalry intensity will shift trader positioning. During the match itself, early cards, aggressive fouls, and player confrontations will drive rapid price movement. Historical head-to-head card data and recent form of both teams also inform market expectations as the event approaches Jun 18, 2026.