TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 6, 5:30 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Portugal and Chile (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for June 6, 2026, 17:45 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 6, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, this event is priced as a binary outcome: either Portugal and Chile accumulate four or more total cards, or they do not. The platform displays the current bid-ask spread and implied probability based on the order book. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, and the price reflects the collective assessment of both teams' discipline, the referee's card-issuing tendencies, and match intensity. As new information emerges—such as confirmed lineups or referee selection—the price adjusts to reflect updated market expectations.
The market resolves on Jun 7, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official final card count from the Portugal versus Chile match, including all yellow and red cards issued by the referee during regular time and any applicable extra time. The outcome is binary: if the combined total reaches four or more cards, the affirmative resolves; otherwise, the negative resolves. Official match records from the governing football authority serve as the authoritative source for settlement.
Key catalysts include confirmed team lineups, as aggressive or suspended players affect disciplinary risk. Referee assignment is critical—different officials have distinct card-issuing patterns. Recent head-to-head history and current disciplinary records of both squads influence expectations. Match stakes and tournament context matter: knockout rounds or high-pressure fixtures typically see more cards. Weather conditions, pitch quality, and pre-match commentary about playing style can shift trader sentiment. Any injury news affecting key defensive or midfield players, or official warnings from governing bodies about expected enforcement, will move the market closer to Jun 7, 2026.