TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 11:56 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Portsmouth and Blackburn, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a decisive lead over their opponent by a specific number of goals. The result is determined based on the final score after the standard match duration, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the margin of victory in the Portsmouth vs Blackburn professional EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for September 19, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are evaluated: Portsmouth winning by more than 2.5 goals, Portsmouth winning by more than 1.5 goals, Blackburn winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Blackburn winning by more than 2.5 goals. The match result is determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified condition regarding the goal-differential is met; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook odds which are set by analysts. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market allows a broader range of participants to weigh in. Over time, prediction market prices tend to become more accurate as more information becomes available and more traders participate. It’s common to see this market converge toward what ultimately happens, but initial discrepancies can present opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Portsmouth vs Blackburn match, specifically the goal spread. The final score will be verified against trusted sports data providers to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 19, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either Portsmouth or Blackburn would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could all impact trader sentiment. Major news regarding team morale or off-field issues could also play a role. Any information that alters perceptions of each team's chances of winning by the specified spread has the potential to shift prices.