TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional EFL Championship soccer match between Portsmouth FC and Swansea City AFC scheduled for March 10, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: Portsmouth win, Swansea win, or draw, with resolution based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market explicitly resolves Yes if the game is canceled with no make-up; Kalshi provides no cancellation clause for its tie market, creating ambiguity on how a complete cancellation would settle.Hero Tip:
Before match day, confirm with Kalshi whether a complete game cancellation resolves their tie market to Yes, No, or remains open. Polymarket traders benefit from explicit Yes resolution on draw cancellations; Kalshi traders face settlement risk if cancellation occurs.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets (Portsmouth Win, Swansea Win, Draw). Draw market explicitly states: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes. Postponements keep markets open until completion. Resolution scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.Kalshi:
Three outcome-based markets (Portsmouth Win, Swansea Win, Tie). Each resolves Yes if its outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided for any market. Implicit assumption: cancellation may default to No or remain unresolved.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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