TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 5:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether more than 0.5 goals will be scored in the Porto versus Manchester City Champions League soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 0.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by the outcome of the match as defined by whether over 0.5 goals are scored in 90 minutes plus stoppage time, according to the stated resolution source. Keep a close watch on the match itself, as this market will resolve immediately following the final whistle on September 8, 2026, the scheduled date for the game.
Resolution depends on whether the total goals scored in the Porto vs Manchester City match exceed thresholds of 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are not counted. Kalshi clarifies it is not officially linked to the league, and all trademarks remain with their respective parties.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks may adjust their lines based on betting action and public perception, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Porto vs Manchester City match and the expected goal count. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the event’s potential.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total goals scored in the Porto vs Manchester City match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect changing opinions and new information. The goal is for the contract prices to converge towards the true probability of each outcome as the event approaches, allowing participants to profit from accurately predicting the final goal tally.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Porto vs Manchester City match, as officially recorded by the governing football authorities, will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the final scoreline, including any goals scored during regular play or added time. Any potential extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered for this market’s resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Porto or Manchester City would likely have a significant impact. Tactical announcements from either manager, such as a change in formation or starting lineup, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any updates on weather conditions at the match venue or changes in referee assignments could introduce uncertainty and affect trading activity. Public sentiment, reflected in expert analysis and media coverage, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.