TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 7:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Vives Marcos and Hugo Dellien in the Porto, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 5:55AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Vives Marcos' if Pedro Vives Marcos advances against Hugo Dellien. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Dellien' if Hugo Dellien advances against Pedro Vives Marcos. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Vives Marcos and Hugo Dellien in the Porto, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 5:55AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Vives Marcos' if Pedro Vives Marcos advances against Hugo Dellien. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Dellien' if Hugo Dellien advances against Pedro Vives Marcos. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply the collective insight of prediction market participants. If you observe a significant difference between the odds on Polymarket and those offered by sportsbooks, it could signal an opportunity to exploit a mispricing, or it could indicate that the market possesses unique information not yet factored into sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Vives Marcos vs Dellien match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and responsive market. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the likelihood of a particular player winning.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Vives Marcos vs Dellien match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on player form could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or even weather forecasts impacting the match could also cause price movements. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by influential traders could create short-term volatility, as can significant shifts in public opinion reflected in other sources like sports news and analysis.