TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 10:34 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Pedro Vives Marcos will advance against Alejandro Moro Canas in their tennis match in Porto, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026. Currently, Polymarket gives a 28.5% probability to Pedro Vives Marcos advancing, while the market assigns a 1.0% probability to a completed match. The resolution source for this market is the official ATP Tour website at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the match outcome itself, as this market will resolve based on the results reported following the scheduled match date of September 11, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Vives Marcos and Alejandro Moro Canas in the Porto, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Vives Marcos' if Pedro Vives Marcos advances against Alejandro Moro Canas. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Moro Canas' if Alejandro Moro Canas advances against Pedro Vives Marcos. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe in an outcome, the higher the price of its shares will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Porto tennis match between Pedro Vives Marcos and Alejandro Moro Canas. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding the players’ recent performance, injury reports, or changes in their playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match schedule might also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the event will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.