TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 12:24 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Oriol Roca Batalla and Facundo Mena in the Porto, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oriol Roca Batalla' if Oriol Roca Batalla advances against Facundo Mena. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Mena' if Facundo Mena advances against Oriol Roca Batalla. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Oriol Roca Batalla and Facundo Mena in the Porto, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oriol Roca Batalla' if Oriol Roca Batalla advances against Facundo Mena. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Mena' if Facundo Mena advances against Oriol Roca Batalla. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, access to information, or simply variations in how each entity interprets the available data. It's common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate new information, especially as the event approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The current volume traded indicates the level of interest and confidence in each possible result.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Oriol Roca Batalla and Facundo Mena, as determined by the governing body for this competition. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market leading up to Sep 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or tactical adjustments announced by either Oriol Roca Batalla or Facundo Mena could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or even weather forecasts impacting the match could also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could trigger price swings, reflecting new information or a change in overall market perception.