TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 9:37 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the tennis match between Mina Hodzic and Elena Malygina in Porto will be completed. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Porto: Completed Match: Mina Hodzic vs Elena Malygina”. Resolution will be based on the official scores reported at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the originally scheduled match date of September 21, 2026 at 6:00AM ET, as this is when the event window begins and the possibility of completion will be assessed.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mina Hodzic and Elena Malygina in the Porto, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mina Hodzic' if Mina Hodzic advances against Elena Malygina. This market will resolve to 'Elena Malygina' if Elena Malygina advances against Mina Hodzic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to reflect the true probabilities as perceived by participants. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, prediction markets can quickly adjust to new information and potentially outperform sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches and more data becomes available. It's a fascinating comparison of different forecasting methods.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the perceived chance of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hodzic vs Malygina match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result, as this will be the basis for settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategy for either Hodzic or Malygina could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches, or even weather conditions if the match is outdoors, could also play a role. Publicly released analysis from sports experts, or even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, might also prompt traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions in this market. These events will all contribute to the dynamic pricing of shares.