TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 8:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Facundo Mena will win against Hugo Dellien in their upcoming tennis match in Porto, resolving to Mena if he advances. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to the outcome of “Set Handicap: Mena (-1.5) vs Dellien (+1.5)”. Resolution will be based on the official scores reported at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the match itself, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 5:55AM ET, as the outcome will be determined by the results of that fixture.
This market refers to the tennis match between Facundo Mena and Hugo Dellien in the Porto, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 5:55AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Mena' if Facundo Mena advances against Hugo Dellien. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Dellien' if Hugo Dellien advances against Facundo Mena. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like promotional offers or biases, while this market relies on the collective predictions of informed traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise for identifying potential value, but remember that each represents a different assessment of the likely outcome of the Mena vs Dellien match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Mena vs Dellien match. The current price indicates what traders collectively believe is the likelihood of a particular result.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mena vs Dellien match as declared by the relevant tennis authorities. The market will determine which player won the match, and the winning shares will be redeemed according to the market’s payout structure. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical changes could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in expectations regarding the Mena vs Dellien match, potentially leading to price fluctuations.